Match Info

Eredivisie - Relegation - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 23 May 2025, Friday

Location: 711 Stadium (Velsen-Zuid)

Referee: Nijhuis B. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:


Netherlands	ESPN 1, ESPN Extra, Star Channel


	Telstar		Den Bosch

	1	X	2
	1.62	4.1	5	Watch
	1.7	4	4.6
	1.68	4	4.75	Watch
	1.68	3.98	5.09
	1.7	3.79	4.73	Watch
	1.65	3.9	4.8
	1.69	4.05	4.73	Watch
	1.68	4	4.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↓ (1.83)	3.98 ↑ (3.7)	4.81 ↑ (4.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Telstar
56.5%

Draw
23.8%

Den Bosch
19.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.9%

25.7%

22.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.3%

25.5%

22.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Telstar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

Den Bosch has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Telstar than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Den Bosch than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
91.7%	4.2%	4.2%

Telstar - Den Bosch Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Telstar (1.25) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Den Bosch (2.17) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.75 - Telstar (1.85) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Users Predictions: Telstar will win (22 of 23 users predict this - 95.65%).
Confidence interval (95%): 87.31% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Telstar will win (10 of 10 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 15 Selected Experts predict this event. Telstar (votes: 14 - 93.3%). Den Bosch (votes: 1 - 6.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Koeman R. (G) 3. Apau M. (C) 21. Koswal D. 6. Bakker D. 11. Noslin T. 25. Owusu T. 4. Offerhaus G. 17. Rossen N. 2. Hardeveld J. 9. El Kachati Y. 7. Hamdaoui M.	36. van de Merbel P. (G) 18. Mulders R. 15. van Grunsven T. 5. Henderikx S. 14. de Groot N. 23. Bakala M. 33. Laros M. 47. Barglan S. 11. Verbeek D. (C) 20. Acheffay H. 21. Kuijpers D.
Substitutes
28. Bodak T. (G) 16. Douiri A. 19. Hagedoorn S. 20. Houweling J. (G) 14. Kaandorp M. 27. Kharchouch R. 15. Lechkar A. 12. Overtoom T. 8. Turfkruier J. 18. van Ekeris R. 26. van Schooneveld J.	1. Bakker M. (G) 40. Boumassaoudi I. 7. Doumtsios K. 29. el Bakkali Z. 48. Elum S. (G) 19. Jonathans D. 24. Maas S. 16. Monzialo K. 6. Soomets M. 3. van den Bogert V. 8. van Hedel R.
Coaches
Correia A.	Landvreugd U.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
18', 0 - 1, van Grunsven T. ⚽, Verbeek D. (A),
30', 1 - 1, El Kachati Y. (Pen),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
61', Hamdaoui M. ↓, Kaandorp M. ↑,
63', Bakala M. ↓, Soomets M. ↑,
78', Kuijpers D. ↓, Doumtsios K. ↑,
84', Hardeveld J. ↓, Turfkruier J. ↑,
84', Owusu T. ↓, Overtoom T. ↑,
Extra Time (1 - 0)
91', Verbeek D. ↓, Boumassaoudi I. ↑,
91', Acheffay H. ↓, van Hedel R. ↑,
91', Rossen N. ↓, Kharchouch R. ↑,
99', Barglan S. ↓, Monzialo K. ↑,
105+2', Kharchouch R. 🟨,
109', 2 - 1, Bakker D. ⚽, Overtoom T. (A),
111', El Kachati Y. ↓, Hagedoorn S. ↑,
120+1', Mulders R. ↓, van den Bogert V. ↑,

Preview

1st leg result: 0-0. 2nd leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Telstar won 2.

At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.

In this match, Telstar is a strong favorite.

There will not play in Den Bosch: Gravenberch D. (Injury) Karlsson Grach S. (Injury) Monzialo K. (Inactive) van Leeuwen T. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Telstar: Hetli S. (Inactive)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Telstar won 11 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 30:25. (average 1.5:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Telstar won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:9. (average 1.7:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Telstar
Dutch Eredivisie
20.05.25	Den Bosch - Telstar	0:0 ✺
17.05.25	ADO Den Haag - Telstar	0:1 ✺
13.05.25	Telstar - ADO Den Haag	2:0 ✺
Dutch Eerste Divisie
09.05.25	Telstar - Emmen	3:0 ✺
02.05.25	De Graafschap - Telstar	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 TWWWL
- FC Den Bosch
Dutch Eredivisie
20.05.25	Den Bosch - Telstar	0:0 ✺
16.05.25	Cambuur - Den Bosch	1:1 ET ✺
12.05.25	Den Bosch - Cambuur	1:0 ✺
Dutch Eerste Divisie
09.05.25	Vitesse - Den Bosch	3:1 ✺
02.05.25	Den Bosch - Helmond Sport	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.9 TWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eredivisie
20.05.25	Den Bosch - Telstar	0:0
Dutch Eerste Divisie
14.02.25	Den Bosch - Telstar	0:1
28.09.24	Telstar - Den Bosch	0:0
26.01.24	Telstar - Den Bosch	0:0
17.11.23	Den Bosch - Telstar	1:4
28.04.23	Den Bosch - Telstar	0:1
11.12.22	Telstar - Den Bosch	1:0

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