Match Info

Date: 19 March 2022, Saturday


	Ternana		Alessandria

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.2	3.4	Watch
	2.05	3.2	3.75
	2.1	3.15	3.7	Watch
	2.04	3.05	3.75
	2.06	3.46	3.95
	1.85	3.3	4.33
	2.08	3.34	3.72	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.02 ↑ (1.82)	3.24 ↓ (3.44)	3.8 ↓ (4.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ternana
46.4%

Draw
28.9%

Alessandria
24.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51%

27%

22.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.1%

26.4%

21.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ternana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

Alessandria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ternana than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ternana, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alessandria than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

Ternana - Alessandria Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 13 and 16 in the zone Serie B (Play Out)).

Ternana has the most likely position - 13 (25.64%), has project points - 48, has currently - 38, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Alessandria has the most likely position - 16 (41.83%), has project points - 34, has currently - 25, has a good chance of relegated (54%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has not chance of win league.

This event has small quality 24, small importance 27, small match rating 25. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Recent matches Ternana is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Alessandria is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Ternana is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Ternana won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ternana Calcio
Italian Serie B
15.03.22	Como - Ternana	1:1 ✺
12.03.22	Ternana - Nuova Cosenza	2:0 ✺
06.03.22	Vicenza Virtus - Ternana	3:1 ✺
01.03.22	Ternana - Pordenone	1:0 ✺
26.02.22	Ternana - Cremonese	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 TWLWL
- Alessandria 1912
Italian Serie B
15.03.22	Alessandria - Monza	0:3 ✺
12.03.22	Frosinone - Alessandria	3:0 ✺
06.03.22	Crotone - Alessandria	0:0 ✺
01.03.22	Alessandria - Como	1:1 ✺
26.02.22	Nuova Cosenza - Alessandria	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LLTTL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
06.11.21	Alessandria - Ternana	0:2

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