Match Info

Date: 12 March 2022, Saturday


	Frosinone		Alessandria

	1	X	2
	1.66	3.5	5	Watch
	1.7	3.4	5.5
	1.66	3.3	5.5	Watch
	1.68	3.35	5.2
	1.73	3.54	5.91
	1.47	3.8	8
	1.71	3.78	5	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↑ (1.65)	3.52 ↓ (3.61)	5.73 ↑ (5.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Frosinone
56.8%

Draw
26.7%

Alessandria
16.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56%

25.6%

18.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.4%

21%

15.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Frosinone has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Alessandria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Frosinone than the current prediction. (+11.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Frosinone, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alessandria than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Frosinone - Alessandria Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 16 in the zone Serie B (Play Out)).

Frosinone has the most likely position - 7 (18.05%), has project points - 60, has currently - 45, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a good chance of prom. playoffs (71%), has a small chance of promoted (13%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Alessandria has the most likely position - 16 (41.89%), has project points - 36, has currently - 25, has a chance of relegated (45%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has small quality 28, importance 37, match rating 33. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Recent matches Frosinone is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Alessandria is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Frosinone is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Frosinone won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Frosinone Calcio
Italian Serie B
06.03.22	Ascoli - Frosinone	1:1 ✺
02.03.22	Frosinone - Nuova Cosenza	1:0 ✺
27.02.22	Cittadella - Frosinone	3:0 ✺
23.02.22	Frosinone - Reggina	3:0 ✺
20.02.22	Brescia - Frosinone	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 TWLWT
- Alessandria 1912
Italian Serie B
06.03.22	Crotone - Alessandria	0:0 ✺
01.03.22	Alessandria - Como	1:1 ✺
26.02.22	Nuova Cosenza - Alessandria	2:1 ✺
22.02.22	Alessandria - Perugia	1:2 ✺
19.02.22	Ascoli - Alessandria	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 TTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
28.10.21	Alessandria - Frosinone	1:1

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