Match Info

Date: 6 March 2022, Sunday


	Crotone		Alessandria

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.1	3.6	Watch
	2.3	3	3.25
	2.26	3.15	3.3	Watch
	2.21	2.95	3.35
	2.25	3.28	3.59
	2.22	3.35	3.34	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.24 ↑ (2.2)	3.14 ↓ (3.2)	3.41 ↑ (3.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Crotone
42.2%

Draw
30.1%

Alessandria
27.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.2%

29%

28.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.8%

21.5%

21.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Crotone have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Alessandria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Crotone than the current prediction. (+14.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Crotone, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alessandria than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alessandria, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Crotone - Alessandria Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 16 in the zone Serie B (Play Out)).

Crotone has the most likely position - 19 (45.96%), has project points - 27, has currently - 15, has a good chance of relegated (92%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has not chance of win league.

Alessandria has the most likely position - 16 (44.41%), has project points - 36, has currently - 24, has a chance of relegated (43%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has small quality 23, importance 40, match rating 32. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Crotone has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Alessandria is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Alessandria could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Crotone will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Crotone won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Crotone
Italian Serie B
02.03.22	Pisa - Crotone	3:2 ✺
27.02.22	Ascoli - Crotone	2:1 ✺
23.02.22	Crotone - Nuova Cosenza	3:3 ✺
20.02.22	Lecce - Crotone	3:0 ✺
16.02.22	Crotone - Brescia	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLTLL
- Alessandria 1912
Italian Serie B
01.03.22	Alessandria - Como	1:1 ✺
26.02.22	Nuova Cosenza - Alessandria	2:1 ✺
22.02.22	Alessandria - Perugia	1:2 ✺
19.02.22	Ascoli - Alessandria	3:0 ✺
16.02.22	Alessandria - Lecce	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 TLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
22.10.21	Alessandria - Crotone	1:0

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