Match Info

Date: 15 March 2022, Tuesday


	Alessandria		Monza

	1	X	2
	3.8	3.2	2	Watch
	3.8	3.2	2
	4.1	3.2	1.95	Watch
	3.8	3.05	2.02
	4.26	3.24	2.06
	3.75	3.2	2.05
	3.75	3.44	2.03	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.89 ↑ (3.5)	3.22 ↑ (3.2)	2.02 ↓ (2.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

Watch this match and Italian Serie B with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: FSCPL

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Alessandria
24.1%

Draw
29.2%

Monza
46.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.7%

29.2%

44.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.1%

22%

58.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alessandria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Monza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alessandria than the current prediction. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Monza than the current prediction. (+12%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Monza could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Alessandria - Monza Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Serie B (Play Out) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Alessandria has the most likely position - 16 (45.65%), has project points - 35, has currently - 25, has a chance of relegated (45%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has not chance of win league.

Monza has the most likely position - 5 (16.08%), has project points - 67, has currently - 51, has not chance of relegated, has a good chance of prom. playoffs (75%), has a chance of promoted (39%), has a small chance of win league (9%).

This event has small quality 29, importance 52, match rating 40. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Alessandria won 0.

Alessandria is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Monza is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Monza is a favorite.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Alessandria won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 7-15.

Including matches at home between the teams Alessandria won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alessandria 1912
Italian Serie B
12.03.22	Frosinone - Alessandria	3:0 ✺
06.03.22	Crotone - Alessandria	0:0 ✺
01.03.22	Alessandria - Como	1:1 ✺
26.02.22	Nuova Cosenza - Alessandria	2:1 ✺
22.02.22	Alessandria - Perugia	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LTTLL
- Monza 1912
Italian Serie B
12.03.22	Monza - Vicenza Virtus	4:0 ✺
05.03.22	Cittadella - Monza	1:2 ✺
02.03.22	Monza - Parma	1:1 ✺
27.02.22	Monza - Lecce	0:1 ✺
22.02.22	Pordenone - Monza	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WWTLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
01.11.21	Monza - Alessandria	1:0
Club Friendly
18.09.20	Monza - Alessandria	1:0
Italian Serie C Group A
24.11.19	Monza - Alessandria	2:0
Coppa Italia
04.08.19	Monza - Alessandria	2:0
Italian Serie C Group A
18.02.18	Alessandria - Monza	0:0
04.10.17	Monza - Alessandria	1:1
11.04.15	Alessandria - Monza	0:1

Upcoming Matches