Match Info

Coppa Italia Serie C - Semi-finals

Date: 14 January 2026, Wednesday

Location: Stadio Libero Liberati (Terni)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	Sky Sport 251, Sky Sport Uno
World	Onefootball


	Ternana		Potenza

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.77	3.36	4.34	Watch
	1.75	3	4.4
	1.81	3.4	4.53	Watch
	1.66	3.33	4.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↑ (1.73)	3.27 ↓ (3.61)	4.51 ↑ (4.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ternana
52%

Draw
27.8%

Potenza
20.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.5%

25.2%

22.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54%

24.5%

21.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ternana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Potenza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ternana than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Potenza than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	14.3%	0%

Ternana - Potenza Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Ternana will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

1st leg.

Ternana is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Potenza has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Ternana is considered a favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Ternana won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:0. (average 1.8:0).

Including home matches between the teams, Ternana won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:0. (average 2:0).

Last Results with these Odds

Ternana - the odds 1.73 are the expected chance of winning is 52.55%, but this team recently wins 86% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ternana Calcio
Italian Serie C Group B
09.01.26	Ascoli - Ternana	1:0 ✺
04.01.26	Ternana - Livorno	2:1 ✺
21.12.25	Pianese - Ternana	0:0 ✺
14.12.25	Ternana - Bra	2:0 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
10.12.25	Ternana - Brescia	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 LWTWW
- Potenza FC
Italian Serie C Group C
09.01.26	Audace Cerignola - Potenza	4:0 ✺
04.01.26	Potenza - Giugliano	0:0 ✺
21.12.25	Monopoli - Potenza	2:1 ✺
14.12.25	Potenza - Catania	1:1 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
10.12.25	Potenza - Crotone	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LTLTW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group C
24.03.21	Potenza - Ternana	0:2
17.10.20	Ternana - Potenza	3:0
12.01.20	Potenza - Ternana	0:1
01.09.19	Ternana - Potenza	1:0

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