Match Info

USL League One

Date: 1 July 2026, Wednesday

Location: One Spokane Stadium (Spokane, WA)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	CBS Sports Network, MSG, NESN, Paramount+


	Spokane Velocity		Forward Madison

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.00	3.20	3.25
	1.95	3.20	3.50
	2.03	3.40	3.63
	2.01	3.44	3.56	Watch
	2.01	3.30	3.40
	2.14	3.44	3.23	Watch
	2.01	3.25	3.40
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.02 ↑ (1.95)	3.32 ↑ (3.2)	3.42 ↓ (3.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Spokane Velocity
45.5%

Draw
27.7%

Forward Madison
26.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.2%

28.1%

25.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.6%

28.3%

25.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Spokane Velocity has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Forward Madison has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Spokane Velocity than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Forward Madison than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Spokane Velocity - Forward Madison Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Spokane (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Lewis S. (G) 4. Fitch S. 5. Margvelashvili G. 12. Miller C. 18. Waldeck D. 77. Lewis A. 6. Fernandez C. 11. John-Brown S. 10. Gil L. (C) 17. Alexandre M. 9. Brett N.	1. Harms J. (G) 8. Segbers M. (C) 20. Carmichael K. 33. Toure K. 4. McCamy C. 23. Munjoma E. 9. Carmichael R. 7. Bolma J. 12. Torres R. 16. Castro J. 14. Gyamfi S.
Substitutes
20. Covi I. 19. Denton J. 14. Hernandez M. 33. Mensah M. 23. Merancio C. (G) 3. Spielman N. 8. Vinyals N. 22. Wells R.	3. Edwards A. 24. Forbes J. 21. Karamoko H. 30. Machacen E. 19. Manske T. (G) 5. Shannon J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
2', Segbers M. 🟨,
31', 0 - 1, Margvelashvili G. (Own goal),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
64', Margvelashvili G. ↓, Covi I. ↑,
64', Fernandez C. ↓, Vinyals N. ↑,
68', Munjoma E. ↓, Edwards A. ↑,
69', Segbers M. ↓, Forbes J. ↑,
72', Edwards A. 🟨,
76', Brett N. ↓, Hernandez M. ↑,
77', Castro J. ↓, Machacen E. ↑,
78', Bolma J. ↓, Karamoko H. ↑,
84', Lewis A. ↓, Denton J. ↑,
85', Covi I. 🟨,
85', Karamoko H. 🟨,
90+3', Gyamfi S. 🟨,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ USL League One (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ USL League One (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Forward Madison may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Spokane might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Spokane won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:6. (average 0.8:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Spokane won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:4. (average 1:2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Forward Madison ✔	29	15	7	7	50:27	23	52
6	Spokane Velocity	27	14	5	8	41:36	5	47

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Spokane Velocity
USL League One
24.06.26	Spokane Velocity - Westchester SC	2:1 ✺
20.06.26	Spokane Velocity - One Knoxville	0:4 ✺
13.06.26	AV Alta - Spokane Velocity	1:0 ✺
USL Cup
06.06.26	Spokane Velocity - Boise	2:1 ✺
USL League One
30.05.26	Portland Hearts of Pine - Spokane Velocity	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WLLWL
- Forward Madison
USL League One
20.06.26	Forward Madison - New York Cosmos	3:1 ✺
17.06.26	Forward Madison - Fort Wayne	1:1 ✺
13.06.26	Forward Madison - Boise	5:1 ✺
USL Cup
06.06.26	Indy Eleven - Forward Madison	2:0 ✺
USL League One
03.06.26	Greenville Triumph - Forward Madison	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WTWLL

Latest Head to Head

USL League One
21.08.25	Forward Madison - Spokane Velocity	0:1
14.06.25	Spokane Velocity - Forward Madison	2:1
09.11.24	Forward Madison - Spokane Velocity	0:1 penalties
21.09.24	Forward Madison - Spokane Velocity	2:0
19.05.24	Spokane Velocity - Forward Madison	0:3

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