Match Info

USL Cup

Date: 28 June 2025, Saturday

Location: Sherman Bearcat Stadium (Sherman, TX)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Texoma		Phoenix Rising

	1	X	2
				Watch
	4.25	3.67	1.72
				Watch
	4.47	3.72	1.65	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.36 ↑ (4.32)	3.7 ↑ (3.62)	1.69 (1.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Texoma
21%

Draw
24.8%

Phoenix Rising
54.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.1%

25.1%

53.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.1%

24%

51.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Texoma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Phoenix Rising has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Texoma than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Phoenix Rising than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
26. Seeger A. (G) 2. Valentine R. 6. Gray L. 12. Chavez J. 27. Staszewski P. 22. Perkins W. 19. Benamna D. 15. Dlamini P. 9. Pepi D. 30. Jawneh L. 7. McManus B.	13. Henry T. (G) 2. Smith C. 34. Montgomery B. 6. Sainte C. F. 14. Cuello E. 80. Emmers X. 17. Scearce J. 44. Ping J. 12. Dennis C. 29. Formella D. 22. Johnson D.
Substitutes
23. Baker T. 17. Bortniczuk M. 4. Kilwien P. 8. McCormick L. 1. McCready M. (G) 3. Ramos O. 10. Spengler P.	10. Avayevu H. 51. Essengue A. 23. Flood R. 38. Kowall C. 7. Margaritha J. 1. Rakovsky P. (G) 88. Rizzo P. 9. Sacko I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 2)
7', 1 - 0, McManus B. ⚽, Benamna D. (A),
21', 1 - 1, Dennis C. (Pen),
24', 1 - 2, Johnson D. ⚽, Dennis C. (A),
26', 2 - 2, Pepi D. ⚽,
41', 3 - 2, Pepi D. ⚽, McManus B. (A),
43', Staszewski P. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 3)
46', Chavez J. ↓, Kilwien P. ↑,
52', 3 - 3, Dennis C. ⚽, Ping J. (A),
56', Seeger A. ↓, McCready M. ↑,
57', McManus B. ↓, Bortniczuk M. ↑,
64', Ping J. ↓, Margaritha J. ↑,
64', Montgomery B. ↓, Essengue A. ↑,
65', Benamna D. ↓, McCormick L. ↑,
68', 4 - 3, Jawneh L. ⚽, Gray L. (A),
71', 4 - 4, Dennis C. (Pen),
79', Emmers X. ↓, Sacko I. ↑,
79', Johnson D. ↓, Avayevu H. ↑,
89', Valentine R. 🟨,
90+4', Dlamini P. ↓, Spengler P. ↑,
90+4', Jawneh L. ↓, Baker T. ↑,
90+6', 4 - 5, Cuello E. ⚽,
90+8', Kilwien P. 🟨,
90+8', Perkins W. 🟨,
90+8', Formella D. 🟨,
90+10', Cuello E. 🟨,

Preview

Texoma has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Phoenix Rising is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Recently, Texoma has had a series of home games.

In this match, Phoenix Rising is a strong favorite.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Texoma FC
USL League One
21.06.25	Texoma - Charlotte Independence	3:2 ✺
14.06.25	Texoma - South Georgia Tormenta	2:2 ✺
07.06.25	Richmond Kickers - Texoma	1:2 ✺
25.05.25	Texoma - Greenville Triumph	1:0 ✺
17.05.25	Texoma - Union Omaha	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 32.1 WTWWW
- Phoenix Rising
USL Championship
21.06.25	Charleston Battery - Phoenix Rising	4:1 ✺
14.06.25	Tulsa - Phoenix Rising	1:1 ✺
07.06.25	Phoenix Rising - Orange County SC	3:1 ✺
USL Cup
31.05.25	Phoenix Rising - New Mexico United	4:3 penalties ✺
USL Championship
28.05.25	Las Vegas Lights - Phoenix Rising	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 LTWWW

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