Match Info

SCOTLAND: CHALLENGE CUP - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 14 October 2023, Saturday


	The New Saints		East Fife

	1	X	2
	1.22	5.5	11
	1.22	5.75	9
	1.22	6	11
	1.23	5.88	10.8
	1.25	5	9
	1.22	6	10.75
	1.24	5.6	9.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.23 ↓ (1.41)	5.68 ↑ (4.5)	10.14 ↑ (5.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

The New Saints
74.8%

Draw
16.2%

East Fife
9.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64%

20%

16%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.7%

19.2%

15.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The New Saints has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in The New Saints's performance.

East Fife has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and East Fife might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for The New Saints than the current prediction. (-8.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with The New Saints that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for East Fife than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that East Fife could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

The New Saints - East Fife Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

TNS in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Recent matches East Fife is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

TNS could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match TNS is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches TNS won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- The New Saints
Welsh Cymru Premier
07.10.23	Pen-y-Bont - The New Saints	1:4 ✺
30.09.23	The New Saints - Pontypridd United	4:0 ✺
26.09.23	Caernarfon Town - The New Saints	1:3 ✺
22.09.23	Cardiff Metropolitan - The New Saints	1:5 ✺
Welsh League Cup
19.09.23	The New Saints - Porthmadog	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WWWWW
- East Fife
Scottish League Two
30.09.23	East Fife - Forfar Athletic	1:1 ✺
23.09.23	Spartans - East Fife	2:2 ✺
16.09.23	East Fife - Clyde	2:0 ✺
Scottish Challenge Cup
09.09.23	East Fife - Albion Rovers	2:1 ✺
Scottish League Two
02.09.23	Dumbarton - East Fife	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 TTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
23.06.21	East Fife - The New Saints	1:1

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