Match Info

EUROPE: Conference League - League phase - Round 6

Date: 19 December 2024, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stadion Z'dezele (Celje) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Fahndrich L. (Sui)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Argentina	17:00	Disney+
Australia	07:00	Stan Sport
Chile	17:00	Disney+
Colombia	15:00	Disney+
Denmark	21:00	Disney+
Finland	22:00	Viaplay
France	21:00	Canal+ Live 18
Greece	22:00	ANT 1+
Iceland	20:00	Viaplay
Indonesia	03:00	beIN Connect
Laos	03:00	beIN Connect
Malaysia	04:00	beIN Connect
Myanmar	02:30	Canal+ Myanmar
Netherlands	21:00	Ziggo Sport 5
Norway	21:00	Viaplay
Peru	15:00	Disney+
Philippines	04:00	beIN Connect
Russia	23:00	Okko Sport
Slovenia	21:00	SportKlub 1
South America	—	ViX Latin America
Sweden	21:00	Disney+
Switzerland	21:00	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1
Thailand	03:00	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Ukraine	22:00	MEGOGO Futbol 19
United Kingdom	20:00	Discovery+ UK, TNT Sports 3, TNT Sports 4
Uruguay	17:00	Disney+
Usa	15:00	Paramount+
Venezuela	16:00	Disney+
Vietnam	03:00	ON Plus
International	20:00	Disney+


	Celje		The New Saints

	1	X	2
	1.33	5.5	7
	1.34	5	6.75
	1.35	5.5	7.5	Watch
	1.36	5.85	7.1
	1.35	5.78	6.67	Watch
	1.35	5	7
	1.38	5.5	7.8
	1.35	5.5	7.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.35 ↑ (1.34)	5.45 ↑ (5.27)	7.17 ↓ (8.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Celje
69.6%

Draw
17.2%

The New Saints
13.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

70.5%

17.9%

11.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.3%

17.5%

11.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Celje has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

The New Saints has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Celje than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for The New Saints than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
78.6%	3.6%	17.9%

Celje - The New Saints Predictions

Users Predictions: Celje will win (22 of 28 users predict this - 78.57%).
Confidence interval (95%): 63.37% – 93.77%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Rozman M. (C) 23. Karnicnik Z. 81. Nemanic K. 6. Zec D. 2. Juanjo Nieto 4. Dulca M. 19. Zabukovnik M. 88. Svetlin T. 11. Seslar S. 5. Lhernault C. 30. Edmilson	25. Roberts C. (G) 7. Daniels J. 22. Davies D. 2. Pask J. 10. Redmond D. (C) 21. Smith L. 14. Williams D. 19. Clark B. 18. Holden R. 9. McManus D. 8. Brobbel R.
Substitutes
77. Brnic I. 12. Kolar L. (G) 10. Kouter N. 16. Kvesic M. 7. Matko A. 3. Vuklisevic D.	6. Bodenham J. 20. Bradley S. 27. Canavan J. 11. Cieslewicz A. 33. Doforo N. 30. Edwards J. (G) 3. Marshall J. 4. Olosunde M. 17. Williams J. 28. Wilson A. 31. Woollam B.
Coaches
Riera A.	Harrison C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 2)
19', 0 - 1, Davies D. ⚽, Brobbel R. (A),
20', 1 - 1, Edmilson ⚽,
29', Daniels J. 🟨,
39', Nemanic K. 🟨,
42', 1 - 2, Holden R. ⚽, Brobbel R. (A),
43', 2 - 2, Edmilson ⚽, Seslar S. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Lhernault C. ↓, Kvesic M. ↑,
46', Nemanic K. ↓, Vuklisevic D. ↑,
46', Dulca M. ↓, Brnic I. ↑,
59', Edmilson ↓, Matko A. ↑,
61', Clark B. ↓, Marshall J. ↑,
61', Brobbel R. ↓, Cieslewicz A. ↑,
67', Redmond D. ↓, Williams J. ↑,
67', McManus D. ↓, Wilson A. ↑,
71', Roberts C. 🟨,
75', Svetlin T. ↓, Kouter N. ↑,
76', Kouter N. 🟨,
79', 3 - 2, Zec D. ⚽, Seslar S. (A),
85', Holden R. ↓, Bradley S. ↑,

Preview

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Celje could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Celje is the unquestionable favorite.

There will not play in TNS: Astles R. (Injury)

There are questionable in Celje: Ajhmajer N. (Knee Injury) Iosifov N. (Injury) Kucys A. (Knee Injury)

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- NK Celje
UEFA Europa Conference League
12.12.24	Paphos - Celje	2:0 ✺
Slovenian PrvaLiga
07.12.24	Celje - Domžale	2:2 ✺
01.12.24	Nafta - Celje	0:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
28.11.24	Celje - Jagiellonia Białystok	3:3 ✺
Slovenian PrvaLiga
23.11.24	Celje - Koper	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LTTTW
- The New Saints
Welsh FA Cup
15.12.24	The New Saints - Colwyn Bay	4:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
12.12.24	The New Saints - Panathinaikos	0:2 ✺
Welsh Cymru Premier
04.12.24	Bala Town - The New Saints	1:0 ✺
Welsh League Cup
01.12.24	Barry Town United - The New Saints	1:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
28.11.24	The New Saints - Djurgården	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 WLLWL

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