Match Info

JAPAN: J2 LEAGUE - ROUND 23

Date: 1 July 2023, Saturday

Location: Machida GION Stadium (Machida)


	Machida Zelvia		Omiya Ardija

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.75	5.25	Watch
	1.57	3.5	5
	1.5	3.75	7
	1.67	3.85	5.67
	1.55	3.5	5.5
	1.59	3.92	5.75	Watch
	1.61	3.7	5.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↑ (1.59)	3.71 ↓ (3.95)	5.62 ↑ (5.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Machida Zelvia
58.4%

Draw
25.1%

Omiya Ardija
16.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.1%

23.7%

17.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.8%

23%

16.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Machida Zelvia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Omiya Ardija has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Machida Zelvia than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Omiya Ardija than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
97.1%	0%	2.9%

Machida Zelvia - Omiya Ardija Predictions

Users Predictions: Machida Zelvia will win (33 of 34 users predict this - 97.06%).
Confidence interval (95%): 91.38% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Popp W. (G) 33. Matsui R. 14. Jang M. 34. Fujiwara Y. 22. Onaga H. 27. Hirakawa Y. 19. Inaba S. 18. Shimoda H. 10. Takahashi D. 15. Duke M. 11. Erik	1. Kasahara T. (G) 3. Okaniwa S. 34. Omori R. 17. Shinzato R. 25. Hakamata Y. 48. Shibayama M. 32. Takayanagi F. 8. Kurimoto H. 22. Motegi R. 9. Nakano S. 28. Tomiyama T.
Substitutes
7. Araki S. 25. Fujio S. 42. Fukui K. (G) 26. Gutierrez C. 6. Ota K. 8. Takae L. 41. Yasui T.	39. Izumisawa J. 7. Kojima M. 35. Minami Y. (G) 14. Miyuki H. 19. Rodrigo 37. Sekiguchi K. 5. Urakami N.
Coaches
Kuroda G.	Harasaki M.

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League and 22 in the zone Relegation ~ J3 League).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Machida Zelvia won 4.

Machida Zelvia is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Omiya is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recently Machida Zelvia have a series of guest games.

In this match Machida Zelvia is absolute favorite.

Our prediction for today's Machida Zelvia to win the game is with odds 1.51.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Machida Zelvia won 5 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 11-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Machida Zelvia won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Machida Zelvia
Japan J2 League
24.06.23	Mito HollyHock - Machida Zelvia	1:1 ✺
18.06.23	Tochigi - Machida Zelvia	1:1 ✺
11.06.23	Machida Zelvia - V-Varen Nagasaki	4:1 ✺
Japan Emperors Cup
07.06.23	Zweigen Kanazawa - Machida Zelvia	2:3 ✺
Japan J2 League
03.06.23	JEF United Chiba - Machida Zelvia	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 TTWWW
- RB Omiya Ardija
Japan J2 League
24.06.23	Omiya Ardija - Iwaki	1:5 ✺
17.06.23	V-Varen Nagasaki - Omiya Ardija	2:0 ✺
11.06.23	Omiya Ardija - Fujieda MYFC	2:3 ✺
Japan Emperors Cup
07.06.23	JEF United Chiba - Omiya Ardija	0:1 ✺
Japan J2 League
03.06.23	Omiya Ardija - Mito HollyHock	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 League
03.05.23	Omiya Ardija - Machida Zelvia	0:1
20.08.22	Omiya Ardija - Machida Zelvia	0:2
30.03.22	Machida Zelvia - Omiya Ardija	3:0
28.11.21	Machida Zelvia - Omiya Ardija	0:0
25.04.21	Omiya Ardija - Machida Zelvia	0:1
21.11.20	Omiya Ardija - Machida Zelvia	0:0
20.09.20	Machida Zelvia - Omiya Ardija	0:0

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