Match Info

J3 League - Round 10

Date: 10 October 2026, Saturday

Location: Shoda Shoyu Stadium Gunma (Maebashi)

Where to Watch on TV:


Japan	DAZN Japan


	Thespakusatsu Gunma		Ryūkyū

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.40	2.35
	2.28	3.30	2.63	Watch
	2.60	3.65	2.44
	2.59	3.65	2.44	Watch
	2.55	3.45	2.40
	2.60	3.53	2.50	Watch
	2.50	3.50	2.40
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.51 ↑ (2.3)	3.5 ↑ (3.35)	2.45 ↓ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Thespakusatsu Gunma
36.5%

Draw
26.2%

Ryūkyū
37.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.9%

26.7%

34.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.1%

26.2%

35.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Thespakusatsu Gunma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Ryūkyū has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Thespakusatsu Gunma than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ryūkyū than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Thespakusatsu Gunma - Ryūkyū Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Thespakusatsu will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Ryūkyū will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Kondo I. (G) 2. Nakamura R. 16. Yamahara K. 3. Ohata R. 22. Nuki M. 27. Fujimura R. (C) 28. Nodake J. 19. Farzan Sana M. 20. Shimokawa T. 17. Hyakuda M. 99. Nakashima T.	1. Sato H. (G) 14. Suzuki J. (C) 27. Funabashi Y. 4. Fujiharu H. 23. Sota K. 32. Takayanagi F. 13. Iwamoto S. 17. Kato Y. 16. Ihori K. 10. Tomidokoro Y. 18. Ueno Y.
Substitutes
9. Aoki S. 8. Kamigaki R. 15. Kazama K. 88. Kim Je-hee (G) 77. Kotake S. 30. Koyanagi T. 29. Matsumoto K. 18. Tanaka S. 6. Yonehara S.	9. Asakawa H. 8. Horiuchi H. 46. Ikeda R. 11. Ishiura T. 24. Kawaguchi N. 55. Koki Y. 33. Miyamoto R. (G) 19. Teruuchi T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
6', 0 - 1, Kato Y. ⚽, Tomidokoro Y. (A),
28', 1 - 1, Fujimura R. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
57', 2 - 1, Nuki M. ⚽,
61', Ueno Y. ↓, Teruuchi T. ↑,
61', Tomidokoro Y. ↓, Ishiura T. ↑,
61', Ihori K. ↓, Koki Y. ↑,
72', Fujimura R. ↓, Kamigaki R. ↑,
72', Hyakuda M. ↓, Matsumoto K. ↑,
72', Shimokawa T. ↓, Kazama K. ↑,
73', Kato Y. ↓, Kawaguchi N. ↑,
79', Nakashima T. ↓, Aoki S. ↑,
85', Fujiharu H. ↓, Horiuchi H. ↑,
90+5', Nodake J. ↓, Tanaka S. ↑,

Preview

A determined lower-tier side seeks an essential result against mid-table opposition (ranked 18th and 13th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Thespakusatsu won 2.

Thespakusatsu is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Ryūkyū has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Recently, Ryūkyū has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 8 head-to-head meetings, Thespakusatsu has recorded 3 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 5:6 (averaging 0.6:0.8 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Thespakusatsu against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, with 0:3 goals (averaging 0:0.8 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
13	Ryukyu	10	3	2	5	11:14	-3	11
16	Kusatsu	10	3	0	7	10:19	-9	9

Last Results with these Odds

Thespakusatsu Gunma - the odds 2.3 are the expected chance of winning is 38.89%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Ryūkyū - the odds 2.6 are the expected chance of winning is 34.41%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Thespakusatsu Gunma
Japan J3 League
03.10.26	Ehime - Thespakusatsu Gunma	3:1 ✺
26.09.26	Thespakusatsu Gunma - Roasso Kumamoto	0:1 ✺
19.09.26	Thespakusatsu Gunma - Kochi United	1:0 ✺
12.09.26	Renofa Yamaguchi - Thespakusatsu Gunma	2:0 ✺
05.09.26	Thespakusatsu Gunma - Fukushima United	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LLWLL
- FC Ryūkyū
Japan J3 League
03.10.26	Ryūkyū - Zweigen Kanazawa	0:2 ✺
26.09.26	Ryūkyū - Ehime	1:1 ✺
20.09.26	Reilac Shiga - Ryūkyū	3:0 ✺
13.09.26	Ryūkyū - Kamatamare Sanuki	1:0 ✺
09.09.26	Ryūkyū - Giravanz Kitakyushu	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 LTLWW

Latest Head to Head

Japan J3 League
06.09.25	Ryūkyū - Thespakusatsu Gunma	3:2
15.02.25	Thespakusatsu Gunma - Ryūkyū	0:0
Japan J2 League
14.09.22	Thespakusatsu Gunma - Ryūkyū	0:0
16.04.22	Ryūkyū - Thespakusatsu Gunma	0:1
18.09.21	Ryūkyū - Thespakusatsu Gunma	0:1
14.03.21	Thespakusatsu Gunma - Ryūkyū	0:2
14.10.20	Ryūkyū - Thespakusatsu Gunma	0:1

Thespakusatsu Gunma - Ryūkyū: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide