Match Info

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A - Round 25

Date: 5 April 2025, Saturday


	Tirsense		Paredes

	1	X	2
	3	3	2.15
	3.25	3.05	2.14
	3.64	2.75	2.17
	3.25	3.05	2.14
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.29 ↑ (3.17)	2.96 ↓ (3.1)	2.15 ↓ (2.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tirsense
27.5%

Draw
30.5%

Paredes
42%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.7%

29.4%

41.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.8%

28.4%

43.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tirsense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Paredes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tirsense than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paredes than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Tirsense - Paredes Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 3)
12', 0 - 1, ⚽,
33', 0 - 2, ⚽,
38', 0 - 3, ⚽,
45', 1 - 3, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
77', 2 - 3, ⚽,
90+7', 2 - 4, ⚽,

Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 7 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group).

Tirsense is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Paredes is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recently Tirsense have a series of guest games.

Paredes will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Tirsense won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:1 (average 0.3:0.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Tirsense won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tirsense
Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
29.03.25	Limianos - Tirsense	2:2 ✺
16.03.25	Tirsense - Dumiense	4:1 ✺
09.03.25	Atlético dos Arcos - Tirsense	0:2 ✺
02.03.25	Brito - Tirsense	1:0 ✺
Taça de Portugal
25.02.25	Elvas - Tirsense	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.4 TWWLW
- USC Paredes
Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
30.03.25	Paredes - Pevidem	4:0 ✺
16.03.25	Vianense - Paredes	1:5 ✺
09.03.25	Paredes - Vila Real	1:0 ✺
02.03.25	Joane - Paredes	1:1 ✺
23.02.25	Paredes - Bragança	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
15.12.24	Paredes - Tirsense	1:0
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
09.01.22	Paredes - Tirsense	0:1
19.09.21	Tirsense - Paredes	0:0

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