Match Info

PORTUGAL: Campeonato de Portugal - Group A - Round 22

Date: 9 March 2025, Sunday


	Atlético dos Arcos		Tirsense

	1	X	2
	2.9	2.9	2.3
	3	3.05	2.29
	3.47	3.26	2.04
	3.11	3.1	2.2
	3	3.05	2.29
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.1 ↑ (2.12)	3.07 ↑ (3)	2.22 ↓ (3.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético dos Arcos
29.4%

Draw
29.6%

Tirsense
40.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.8%

30.3%

26.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.3%

29.3%

26%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético dos Arcos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Atlético dos Arcos's form might have worsened.

Tirsense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tirsense's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético dos Arcos than the current prediction. (+14.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Atlético dos Arcos, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tirsense than the current prediction. (-14.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tirsense, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Atlético dos Arcos - Tirsense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 2)
66', 0 - 1, Rodrigues D. ⚽,
74', 0 - 2, Mesquita B. ⚽,

Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 13 in the zone Relegation and 10 in the zone Relegation).

Atlético dos Arcos is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Tirsense is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Atlético dos Arcos could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Atlético dos Arcos will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Atlético dos Arcos won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético dos Arcos
Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
01.03.25	Pevidem - Atlético dos Arcos	1:3 ✺
22.02.25	Atlético dos Arcos - Vianense	2:1 ✺
16.02.25	Vila Real - Atlético dos Arcos	1:1 ✺
09.02.25	Atlético dos Arcos - Joane	1:0 ✺
02.02.25	Bragança - Atlético dos Arcos	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25.3 WWTWL
- Tirsense
Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
02.03.25	Brito - Tirsense	1:0 ✺
Taça de Portugal
25.02.25	Elvas - Tirsense	0:2 ✺
Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
22.02.25	Tirsense - Pevidem	3:0 ✺
16.02.25	Vianense - Tirsense	3:2 ✺
09.02.25	Tirsense - Vila Real	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.3 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
10.11.24	Tirsense - Atlético dos Arcos	1:2

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