Match Info

JAPAN: J2 LEAGUE - ROUND 42

Date: 11 November 2023, Saturday


	Tochigi		Júbilo Iwata

	1	X	2
	5.75	4.33	1.55	Watch
	5.5	4	1.47
	6	4	1.5	Watch
	6.27	4.3	1.54
	6.27	4.3	1.55
	5.8	3.9	1.44
	6.1	4.25	1.51	Watch
	5.6	4.1	1.51
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.91 ↑ (5.03)	4.15 ↑ (3.97)	1.51 ↓ (1.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tochigi
15.8%

Draw
22.5%

Júbilo Iwata
61.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.7%

23.8%

57.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.1%

23%

59.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tochigi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Júbilo Iwata has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tochigi than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Júbilo Iwata than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

Tochigi - Júbilo Iwata Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
41. Fujita K. (G) 40. Takashima S. 16. Hiramatsu W. 6. Omori S. 30. Fukumori K. 4. Sato S. 8. Takahagi Y. 21. Yoshida T. 7. Nishiya Y. 19. Oshima K. 99. Ismaila O.	21. Miura R. (G) 17. Suzuki Y. 15. Suzuki K. 36. Ricardo Graca 4. Matsubara K. 28. Kanuma N. 7. Uehara R. 14. Matsumoto M. 10. Yamada H. 33. Dudu 42. Goto K.
Substitutes
1. Kawata S. (G) 32. Miyazaki K. 10. Mori T. 15. Okazaki R. 33. Rafael Costa 13. Ueda K. 29. Yano K.	13. Fujikawa K. 38. Fujiwara K. 31. Furukawa Y. 29. Gonzalez F. 81. Kajikawa Y. (G) 40. Kaneko S. 5. Ogawa D.
Coaches
Tokisaki Y.	Yokouchi A.

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 18 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ J2 League (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Tochigi won 1.

Tochigi is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Iwata is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Tochigi could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Iwata is indisputable favorite.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Tochigi won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 10-19.

Including matches at home between the teams Tochigi won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 2-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tochigi SC
Japan J2 League
05.11.23	Tokyo Verdy - Tochigi	1:0 ✺
29.10.23	Fagiano Okayama - Tochigi	1:1 ✺
22.10.23	Tochigi - Oita Trinita	1:1 ✺
08.10.23	Montedio Yamagata - Tochigi	2:0 ✺
01.10.23	Tochigi - Blaublitz Akita	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LTTLL
- Júbilo Iwata
Japan J2 League
04.11.23	Júbilo Iwata - Mito HollyHock	5:0 ✺
28.10.23	Júbilo Iwata - Tokyo Verdy	1:1 ✺
22.10.23	Tokushima Vortis - Júbilo Iwata	0:3 ✺
07.10.23	Shimizu S-Pulse - Júbilo Iwata	1:0 ✺
01.10.23	Júbilo Iwata - V-Varen Nagasaki	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 League
29.03.23	Júbilo Iwata - Tochigi	2:0
17.10.21	Tochigi - Júbilo Iwata	1:1
01.05.21	Júbilo Iwata - Tochigi	3:2
20.12.20	Tochigi - Júbilo Iwata	1:2
19.09.20	Júbilo Iwata - Tochigi	2:3
12.07.15	Tochigi - Júbilo Iwata	0:2
01.04.15	Júbilo Iwata - Tochigi	3:0

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