The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Tochigi 30.9%
Draw 27.9%
Renofa Yamaguchi 41.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
37.5%
28.8%
33.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
39.5%
30.3%
32%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tochigi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tochigi's form might have worsened.
Renofa Yamaguchi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Renofa Yamaguchi's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tochigi than the current prediction. (+8.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tochigi, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Renofa Yamaguchi than the current prediction. (-9.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Renofa Yamaguchi, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Tochigi - Renofa Yamaguchi Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
41. Tashiro R. (G) 88. Uchida K. 3. Higashi R. 14. Suzuki S. 17. Sugimori K. 23. Sese H. 7. Osako R. 13. Osone K. (C) 77. Nakamura J. 10. Igarashi T. 20. Suzuki W. I.
35. Uchiyama K. (G) 15. Itakura T. 5. Yoshioka K. (C) 33. Kikuchi S. 2. Ozawa R. 17. Tanabe K. 40. Naruoka H. 8. Noyori K. 4. Nakashima K. 19. Yamamoto S. 13. Watanabe S.
Substitutes
1. Kawata S. (G) 37. Kimura Y. 18. Matsushita Y. 16. Myogan T. 81. Nakano K. 80. Otabor K. 2. Sakurai R. 25. Yamaguchi T. 5. Yanagi Y.
11. Fujioka K. 70. Gunji R. 41. Iida M. (G) 22. Kubo S. 7. Misawa N. 88. Nomura N. 14. Shimodo R. 43. Suzuki J. 77. Yamamoto R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
27', Higashi R. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
50', 0 - 1, Yamamoto S. ⚽, Watanabe S. (A),
53', Osako R. 🟨,
54', Nakamura J. ↓, Nakano K. ↑,
54', Igarashi T. ↓, Myogan T. ↑,
62', Yamamoto S. ↓, Kubo S. ↑,
63', Nakashima K. ↓, Nomura N. ↑,
63', Watanabe S. ↓, Gunji R. ↑,
67', Sese H. ↓, Matsushita Y. ↑,
68', Sugimori K. ↓, Yamaguchi T. ↑,
71', Tanabe K. 🟨,
75', Tanabe K. ↓, Yamamoto R. ↑,
82', Suzuki W. I. ↓, Sakurai R. ↑,
86', Noyori K. ↓, Misawa N. ↑,
Preview
A mid-table host welcomes one of the top contenders in an exciting contest (ranked 14th and 6th in the Promotion - J3 League Promotion - Playoffs).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tochigi won 1.
Recent results have been tough for Tochigi (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Renofa Yamaguchi is on a roll with consecutive victories (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Renofa Yamaguchi could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 14 head-to-head meetings, Tochigi has recorded 7 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 19:17 (averaging 1.4:1.2 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Tochigi against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss, with 11:9 goals (averaging 1.6:1.3 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
3
Renofa Yamaguchi
10
6
2
2
14:7
7
20
15
Tochigi SC
10
2
4
4
11:15
-4
10
Last Results with these Odds
Renofa Yamaguchi - the odds 2.65 are the expected chance of winning is 33.69%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.
Japan
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Tashiro R. (G) 
Otabor K. 
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