The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Tokushima Vortis 13.7%
Draw 22.5%
Kawasaki Frontale 63.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
13.3%
21.6%
65.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
11.3%
18.4%
76.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tokushima Vortis has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
Kawasaki Frontale has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tokushima Vortis than the current prediction. (-2.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kawasaki Frontale than the current prediction. (+12.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Kawasaki Frontale could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Tokushima Vortis - Kawasaki Frontale Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Preview
Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ J2 League and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League).
Tokushima has the most likely position - 18 (24.87%), has project points - 32, has currently - 23, has a very small chance of qualify for acl (<1%), has not chance of win league.
Kawasaki has the most likely position - 1 (71.04%), has project points - 89, has currently - 66, has a very good chance of qualify for acl (>99%), has a good chance of win league (71%).
Tokushima has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Recent matches Kawasaki is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Kawasaki could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Recently Kawasaki have a series of guest games.
In this match Kawasaki is absolute favorite.
Last 3 head-to-head matches Tokushima won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 0-10.
Including matches at home between the teams Tokushima won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-4.