Match Info

Date: 2 December 2020, Wednesday


	Tokushima Vortis		Giravanz Kitakyushu

	1	X	2
	1.55	3.75	6	Watch
	1.55	4	5.25	Watch
	1.56	3.85	5.2
	1.6	4.21	5.7
	1.57	3.75	5.5
	1.59	4.2	5.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↓ (1.69)	3.96 ↑ (3.66)	5.53 ↑ (4.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tokushima Vortis
59.5%

Draw
23.6%

Giravanz Kitakyushu
16.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.4%

25.5%

19.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.1%

20.4%

15.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tokushima Vortis has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

Giravanz Kitakyushu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tokushima Vortis than the current prediction. (+9.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tokushima Vortis, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Giravanz Kitakyushu than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
64.3%	7.1%	28.6%

Tokushima Vortis - Giravanz Kitakyushu Predictions

Users Predictions: 28 users predict this event. Tokushima will win (votes: 18 - 64.3%). Giravanz will win (votes: 8 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 7.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Tokushima: 46.6% – 82%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion to J1 League and 4).

Instantly two teams are in a excellent shape.

Giravanz could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Tokushima is a favorite.

At the moment teams are feeling good and ready to play.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Tokushima won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Tokushima won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tokushima Vortis
Japan J2 League
29.11.20	Zweigen Kanazawa - Tokushima Vortis	3:4 ✺
25.11.20	Tokushima Vortis - Machida Zelvia	3:0 ✺
21.11.20	Kyoto Sanga - Tokushima Vortis	2:0 ✺
15.11.20	Montedio Yamagata - Tokushima Vortis	0:1 ✺
11.11.20	Tokushima Vortis - Tochigi	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WWLWW
- Giravanz Kitakyushu
Japan J2 League
28.11.20	Giravanz Kitakyushu - Fagiano Okayama	1:1 ✺
25.11.20	Mito HollyHock - Giravanz Kitakyushu	2:2 ✺
21.11.20	Ryūkyū - Giravanz Kitakyushu	1:1 ✺
15.11.20	Giravanz Kitakyushu - Tochigi	1:0 ✺
11.11.20	Giravanz Kitakyushu - Ehime	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 TTTWW

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 League
29.07.20	Giravanz Kitakyushu - Tokushima Vortis	2:0
11.09.16	Giravanz Kitakyushu - Tokushima Vortis	0:1
Japan Emperors Cup
03.09.16	Tokushima Vortis - Giravanz Kitakyushu	2:0
Japan J2 League
28.05.16	Tokushima Vortis - Giravanz Kitakyushu	1:0
12.07.15	Tokushima Vortis - Giravanz Kitakyushu	0:1
15.03.15	Giravanz Kitakyushu - Tokushima Vortis	2:0

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