Match Info

Date: 3 November 2021, Wednesday


	Mito HollyHock		Giravanz Kitakyushu

	1	X	2
	1.66	4	5	Watch
	1.68	3.4	4.4
	1.67	3.8	4.6	Watch
	1.67	3.65	4.6
	1.72	4.04	4.82
	1.62	3.7	5
	1.7	4	4.75	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↓ (1.81)	3.8 ↑ (3.55)	4.74 ↑ (4.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mito HollyHock
55.7%

Draw
24.6%

Giravanz Kitakyushu
19.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.5%

26.2%

22.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.3%

20.7%

17.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mito HollyHock has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

Giravanz Kitakyushu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mito HollyHock than the current prediction. (+9.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mito HollyHock, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Giravanz Kitakyushu than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

Mito HollyHock - Giravanz Kitakyushu Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 10 and 21 in the zone Relegation ~ J3 League).

Recent matches Mito HollyHock is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Giravanz is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Mito HollyHock is a favorite.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Mito HollyHock won 3 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 18-15.

Including matches at home between the teams Mito HollyHock won 1 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9-9.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mito HollyHock
Japan J2 League
30.10.21	V-Varen Nagasaki - Mito HollyHock	2:1 ✺
24.10.21	Mito HollyHock - Fagiano Okayama	1:1 ✺
17.10.21	Renofa Yamaguchi - Mito HollyHock	2:2 ✺
10.10.21	Mito HollyHock - Thespakusatsu Gunma	2:1 ✺
03.10.21	Sagamihara - Mito HollyHock	4:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 LTTWT
- Giravanz Kitakyushu
Japan J2 League
30.10.21	Giravanz Kitakyushu - Sagamihara	1:2 ✺
23.10.21	Omiya Ardija - Giravanz Kitakyushu	3:1 ✺
16.10.21	Giravanz Kitakyushu - Tokyo Verdy	2:2 ✺
09.10.21	Júbilo Iwata - Giravanz Kitakyushu	4:1 ✺
03.10.21	Giravanz Kitakyushu - Thespakusatsu Gunma	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LLTLT

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 League
06.03.21	Giravanz Kitakyushu - Mito HollyHock	1:2
25.11.20	Mito HollyHock - Giravanz Kitakyushu	2:2
23.09.20	Giravanz Kitakyushu - Mito HollyHock	0:3
12.11.16	Giravanz Kitakyushu - Mito HollyHock	2:2
07.05.16	Mito HollyHock - Giravanz Kitakyushu	1:1
Japan Emperors Cup
05.09.15	Mito HollyHock - Giravanz Kitakyushu	2:1
Japan J2 League
23.08.15	Giravanz Kitakyushu - Mito HollyHock	2:2

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