Match Info

Date: 26 September 2020, Saturday


	Tokushima Vortis		Matsumoto Yamaga

	1	X	2
	1.6	3.75	5.25	Watch
	1.6	3.75	4.75
	1.65	3.6	5.25	Watch
	1.64	3.45	5.2
	1.66	3.74	6.01
	1.6	3.5	5.8
	1.65	3.75	5.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↑ (1.54)	3.65 ↓ (3.93)	5.42 ↓ (5.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tokushima Vortis
57.2%

Draw
25.5%

Matsumoto Yamaga
17.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.3%

23.7%

16.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.9%

19.6%

13.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tokushima Vortis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Matsumoto Yamaga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tokushima Vortis than the current prediction. (+15.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tokushima Vortis, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matsumoto Yamaga than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

Tokushima Vortis - Matsumoto Yamaga Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Tokushima in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Matsumoto Yamaga is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Tokushima is a favorite.

Recent matches Matsumoto Yamaga is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Last 8 head-to-head matches Tokushima won 1 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 7-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Tokushima won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tokushima Vortis
Japan J2 League
23.09.20	Omiya Ardija - Tokushima Vortis	1:2 ✺
19.09.20	Albirex Niigata - Tokushima Vortis	0:1 ✺
12.09.20	Tokushima Vortis - Zweigen Kanazawa	1:1 ✺
09.09.20	Tochigi - Tokushima Vortis	0:1 ✺
05.09.20	Tokushima Vortis - Thespakusatsu Gunma	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WWTWW
- Matsumoto Yamaga
Japan J2 League
23.09.20	Matsumoto Yamaga - Ryūkyū	1:6 ✺
19.09.20	Matsumoto Yamaga - V-Varen Nagasaki	2:2 ✺
13.09.20	Tochigi - Matsumoto Yamaga	1:1 ✺
09.09.20	Renofa Yamaguchi - Matsumoto Yamaga	2:2 ✺
05.09.20	Matsumoto Yamaga - Montedio Yamagata	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 LTTTW

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 League
29.08.20	Matsumoto Yamaga - Tokushima Vortis	1:3
17.11.18	Matsumoto Yamaga - Tokushima Vortis	0:0
26.05.18	Tokushima Vortis - Matsumoto Yamaga	1:1
02.09.17	Matsumoto Yamaga - Tokushima Vortis	3:1
01.04.17	Tokushima Vortis - Matsumoto Yamaga	0:2
31.07.16	Tokushima Vortis - Matsumoto Yamaga	2:2
09.04.16	Matsumoto Yamaga - Tokushima Vortis	1:0

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