Match Info

Date: 4 December 2021, Saturday


	Matsumoto Yamaga		V-Varen Nagasaki

	1	X	2
	3.6	3.4	2.1	Watch
	3.2	3.2	2.05
	3.45	3.2	2.1	Watch
	3.3	3.2	2.11
	3.68	3.29	2.18
	3.4	3.1	2.1
	3.48	3.42	2.13	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.44 ↑ (3.05)	3.26 ↓ (3.32)	2.11 ↓ (2.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Matsumoto Yamaga
27.1%

Draw
28.6%

V-Varen Nagasaki
44.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.2%

28.7%

40%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.6%

20.8%

55.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Matsumoto Yamaga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

V-Varen Nagasaki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matsumoto Yamaga than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for V-Varen Nagasaki than the current prediction. (+10.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that V-Varen Nagasaki could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Matsumoto Yamaga - V Varen Nagasaki Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Preview

Matsumoto Yamaga is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

V-Varen Nagasaki is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Matsumoto Yamaga could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

V-Varen Nagasaki will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Matsumoto Yamaga won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 11-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Matsumoto Yamaga won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Matsumoto Yamaga
Japan J2 League
27.11.21	Sagamihara - Matsumoto Yamaga	1:1 ✺
21.11.21	Matsumoto Yamaga - Renofa Yamaguchi	1:1 ✺
13.11.21	Ventforet Kofu - Matsumoto Yamaga	3:2 ✺
07.11.21	Matsumoto Yamaga - Albirex Niigata	1:1 ✺
03.11.21	Machida Zelvia - Matsumoto Yamaga	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 TTLTL
- V-Varen Nagasaki
Japan J2 League
28.11.21	V-Varen Nagasaki - Fagiano Okayama	0:1 ✺
20.11.21	Júbilo Iwata - V-Varen Nagasaki	2:2 ✺
13.11.21	V-Varen Nagasaki - Tochigi	3:0 ✺
07.11.21	Tokyo Verdy - V-Varen Nagasaki	0:3 ✺
03.11.21	V-Varen Nagasaki - Thespakusatsu Gunma	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 LTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 League
13.06.21	V-Varen Nagasaki - Matsumoto Yamaga	1:0
25.11.20	V-Varen Nagasaki - Matsumoto Yamaga	1:1
19.09.20	Matsumoto Yamaga - V-Varen Nagasaki	2:2
15.07.17	V-Varen Nagasaki - Matsumoto Yamaga	1:0
08.04.17	Matsumoto Yamaga - V-Varen Nagasaki	3:0
24.07.16	Matsumoto Yamaga - V-Varen Nagasaki	1:0
03.04.16	V-Varen Nagasaki - Matsumoto Yamaga	1:1

Upcoming Matches