Match Info

J1 League - Round 13

Date: 29 April 2025, Tuesday

Location: Ajinomoto Stadium (Tokyo)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Optus Sport
China	QQ Sports
Hong-kong	myTV SUPER
India	FanCode, FanCode
Japan	DAZN Japan


	Tokyo		Shimizu S-Pulse

	1	X	2
	2.75	3.2	2.55	Watch
	2.8	3.1	2.55
	2.77	3.11	2.52	Watch
	2.86	3.25	2.69
	2.83	3.15	2.64	Watch
	2.8	3	2.5
	2.82	3.19	2.64	Watch
	2.8	3.15	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.8 ↓ (2.92)	3.14 ↓ (3.19)	2.58 ↑ (2.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Tokyo
33.6%

Draw
29.9%

Shimizu S-Pulse
36.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.5%

29.7%

37.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.8%

30.4%

38.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tokyo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Shimizu S-Pulse has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tokyo than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shimizu S-Pulse than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	80%	20%

Tokyo - Shimizu S Pulse Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Shimizu will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 80%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tokyo (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Tokyo (1.93) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tokyo (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
41. Nozawa T. (G) 32. Doi K. 30. Oka T. 7. Anzai S. 99. Shirai K. 18. Hashimoto K. 8. Ko T. 22. Endo K. 39. Nakagawa T. 53. Kitahara M. 19. Marcelo Ryan	1. Oki Y. (G) 5. Kitazume K. 3. Takahashi Y. 17. Yumiba M. 28. Yoshida Y. 36. Uno Z. 98. Matheus Bueno 19. Matsuzaki K. 33. Inui T. 7. Capixaba 23. Kitagawa K.
Substitutes
13. Hatano G. (G) 10. Higashi K. 4. Kimoto Y. 47. Kimura S. 37. Koizumi K. 28. Nozawa L. 16. Sato K. 33. Tawaratsumida K. 27. Tokiwa K.	29. Ahmedov A. 99. Douglas Tanque 41. Haneda K. 71. Inokoshi Y. (G) 11. Nakahara H. 37. Ohata R. 47. Shimamoto Y. 21. Yajima S. 14. Yamahara R.
Coaches
Matsuhashi R.	Akiba T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
45+1', 0 - 1, Kitagawa K. (Pen),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
60', Kitahara M. ↓, Tawaratsumida K. ↑,
60', Nakagawa T. ↓, Sato K. ↑,
77', Matsuzaki K. ↓, Nakahara H. ↑,
77', Kitagawa K. ↓, Douglas Tanque ↑,
77', Anzai S. ↓, Kimura S. ↑,
77', Hashimoto K. ↓, Higashi K. ↑,
79', 0 - 2, Inui T. ⚽, Yumiba M. (A),
85', Inui T. ↓, Yajima S. ↑,
88', Higashi K. 🟨,
88', Shirai K. ↓, Koizumi K. ↑,
90+1', Capixaba ↓, Yamahara R. ↑,
90+1', Yoshida Y. ↓, Haneda K. ↑,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 and 7).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Tokyo won 3.

Two teams are playing changeable.

Tokyo could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

There will not play in Shimizu: Saito S. (Knee Injury)

Last 20 head-to-head matches Tokyo won 12 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 35:17 (average 1.8:0.9).

Including matches at home between the teams Tokyo won 6 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 18:8 (average 2:0.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Tokyo
Japan J1 League
25.04.25	Tokyo - Gamba Osaka	3:0 ✺
20.04.25	Cerezo Osaka - Tokyo	1:1 ✺
Japan J League Cup
16.04.25	Omiya Ardija - Tokyo	1:3 ET ✺
Japan J1 League
11.04.25	Tokyo - Kashiwa Reysol	1:1 ✺
06.04.25	Fagiano Okayama - Tokyo	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 WTWTL
- Shimizu S-Pulse
Japan J1 League
20.04.25	Shimizu S-Pulse - Avispa Fukuoka	3:1 ✺
16.04.25	Yokohama F. Marinos - Shimizu S-Pulse	2:3 ✺
12.04.25	Shimizu S-Pulse - Kawasaki Frontale	1:1 ✺
Japan J League Cup
09.04.25	Júbilo Iwata - Shimizu S-Pulse	2:1 ✺
Japan J1 League
06.04.25	Yokohama FC - Shimizu S-Pulse	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 WWTLL

Latest Head to Head

Japan J1 League
07.08.22	Tokyo - Shimizu S-Pulse	0:2
25.05.22	Shimizu S-Pulse - Tokyo	0:3
03.11.21	Tokyo - Shimizu S-Pulse	4:0
26.05.21	Shimizu S-Pulse - Tokyo	3:0
14.10.20	Tokyo - Shimizu S-Pulse	3:1
22.02.20	Shimizu S-Pulse - Tokyo	1:3
20.07.19	Shimizu S-Pulse - Tokyo	0:2

Upcoming Matches