Match Info

J1 League - Round 5

Date: 7 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Ajinomoto Stadium (Tokyo)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Canal GOAT
China	K-Ball
Japan	DAZN Japan


	Tokyo		Yokohama F. Marinos

	1	X	2
	2.01	3.4	3.6	Watch
	1.98	3.5	3.6
	2	3.35	3.5	Watch
	2.12	3.5	3.76
	2.03	3.53	3.62	Watch
	2	3.25	3.5
	2.03	3.35	3.85	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.02 ↑ (1.97)	3.41 ↓ (3.62)	3.63 ↓ (3.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tokyo
46.5%

Draw
27.6%

Yokohama F. Marinos
25.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48%

26.1%

25.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tokyo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

The chances for Yokohama F. Marinos have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	0%	14.3%

Tokyo - Yokohama F. Marinos Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tokyo (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Yokohama FM (1.80) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1.5 - Yokohama FM (1.27) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Tokyo will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Tokyo (votes: 2 - 50%). Yokohama FM (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
81. Kim Seung-Gyu (G) 2. Muroya S. (C) 24. Scholz A. 15. Omori R. 5. Nagatomo Y. 16. Sato K. 18. Hashimoto K. 27. Tokiwa K. 23. Sato R. 9. Marcelo Ryan 26. Nagakura M.	31. Kimura R. (G) 13. Inoue T. 17. Quinones J. 22. Tsunoda R. 2. Kato R. 8. Kida T. (C) 28. Yamane R. 11. Croux J. 7. Tono D. 18. Onaiwu G. 9. Tanimura K.
Substitutes
22. Endo K. 42. Hashimoto K. 10. Higashi K. 4. Kimoto Y. 37. Koizumi K. 39. Nakagawa T. 55. Otani D. C. 1. Tanaka H. (G) 71. Yamada F.	40. Amano J. 26. David D. 21. Iikura H. (G) 34. Kimura T. 24. Kondo T. 23. Miyaichi R. 33. Suwama K. 19. Tevis 30. Yuri Araujo
Coaches
Matsuhashi R.	Oshima H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
1', 1 - 0, Nagakura M. ⚽, Sato K. (A),
16', 2 - 0, Sato R. ⚽, Nagakura M. (A),
38', Kida T. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Quinones J. ↓, Suwama K. ↑,
46', Kida T. ↓, Kimura T. ↑,
47', 3 - 0, Marcelo Ryan ⚽,
59', Tsunoda R. ↓, Miyaichi R. ↑,
64', Tono D. ↓, Amano J. ↑,
65', Kimura T. 🟨,
74', Sato K. ↓, Yamada F. ↑,
74', Nagatomo Y. ↓, Hashimoto K. ↑,
80', Sato R. ↓, Endo K. ↑,
80', Marcelo Ryan ↓, Nakagawa T. ↑,
86', Onaiwu G. ↓, Tevis ↑,
90+1', Hashimoto K. ↓, Koizumi K. ↑,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 11th place) and 9 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 17th place)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tokyo won 2.

Tokyo could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Tokyo: Arai Y. (Knee Injury) Tawaratsumida K. (Inactive)

There will not play in Yokohama FM: Matsubara K. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Yokohama FM: Park Il-gyu (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Tokyo won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 30:42. (average 1.5:2.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Tokyo won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 18:23. (average 1.8:2.3).

Outrights of Japan J1 League for now

FC Tokyo: 11.22% Yokohama F. Marinos: 3.02%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	FC Tokyo	4	2	1	1	8:7	1	7
9	Yokohama F. Marinos	4	2	0	2	7:7	0	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Tokyo
Japan J1 League
28.02.26	Tokyo - Kashiwa Reysol	0:2 ✺
21.02.26	Kawasaki Frontale - Tokyo	1:2 ✺
14.02.26	Tokyo - Urawa Red Diamonds	2:1 penalties ✺
06.02.26	Tokyo - Kashima Antlers	2:1 penalties ✺
06.12.25	Tokyo - Albirex Niigata	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17 LWWWT
- Yokohama F. Marinos
Japan J1 League
27.02.26	Yokohama F. Marinos - Tokyo Verdy	3:2 ✺
21.02.26	Yokohama F. Marinos - Urawa Red Diamonds	0:2 ✺
14.02.26	Kashima Antlers - Yokohama F. Marinos	1:0 ✺
06.02.26	Yokohama F. Marinos - Machida Zelvia	2:3 ✺
06.12.25	Kashima Antlers - Yokohama F. Marinos	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Japan J1 League
28.09.25	Tokyo - Yokohama F. Marinos	2:3
25.06.25	Yokohama F. Marinos - Tokyo	0:3
28.09.24	Yokohama F. Marinos - Tokyo	1:3
19.05.24	Tokyo - Yokohama F. Marinos	1:1
19.08.23	Yokohama F. Marinos - Tokyo	2:1
03.06.23	Tokyo - Yokohama F. Marinos	2:3
03.09.22	Tokyo - Yokohama F. Marinos	2:2

Tokyo - Yokohama F. Marinos: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide