Match Info

Leagues Cup

Date: 8 August 2026, Saturday

Location: BMO Stadium (Los Angeles, CA)

Where to Watch on TV:


Canada	fubo Sports Network
Usa	FOX Sports 1, SportsEngine Play, TUDN, Univision
World	Apple TV International


	Toluca		Los Angeles

	1	X	2
	2.80	3.80	2.25	Watch
	2.65	3.40	2.25
	2.60	3.65	2.43
	2.75	4.16	2.30
	2.54	3.9	2.49	Watch
	2.70	4.10	2.25
	2.67	3.92	2.25	Watch
	2.80	3.70	2.32
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.69 ↑ (2.61)	3.83 ↑ (3.61)	2.32 ↓ (2.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Toluca
34.9%

Draw
24.5%

Los Angeles
40.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.2%

26.2%

37.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.2%

26.2%

37.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Toluca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Los Angeles has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toluca than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Los Angeles than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	60%	0%

Toluca - Los Angeles Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Toluca will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 60%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Gonzalez H. (G) 6. Pereira F. 13. Luan 25. del Villar E. 19. Simon S. 7. Guzman V. 5. Romero F. 15. Perez P. 11. Helinho 20. Gallardo J. (C) 16. Vinas F.	1. Lloris H. (G) 24. Hollingshead R. 33. Long A. (C) 91. Nkosi Tafari 23. Cheberko Y. 66. Choiniere M. 11. Tillman T. 8. Delgado M. 30. Martinez D. 7. Son Heung-Min 99. Bouanga D.
Substitutes
10. Angulo J. 24. Arce F. 12. Beltran R. (G) 3. Briseno A. 4. Bruno Mendez 29. Diaz Price J. 17. Garcia Caprizo B. A. 22. Garcia L. (G) 35. Gutierrez E. 21. Lopez I. 18. Shrem D. (G)	19. Boyd T. 31. Carter C. (G) 17. Ebobisse J. 12. Hasal T. (G) 90. Mihalic T. 40. Nava S. 45. Nielsen K. 5. Porteous R. 21. Raposo R. 4. Segura E. 18. Shaffelburg J. 22. Terry J.
Coaches
Mohamed A.	Dos Santos M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
30', Martinez D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
56', del Villar E. 🟨,
58', Long A. ↓, Porteous R. ↑,
58', Cheberko Y. ↓, Segura E. ↑,
59', Perez P. ↓, Diaz Price J. ↑,
64', Vinas F. 🟨,
68', Son Heung-Min ↓, Terry J. ↑,
68', Tillman T. ↓, Ebobisse J. ↑,
72', Vinas F. ↓, Lopez I. ↑,
72', Guzman V. ↓, Arce F. ↑,
81', Helinho ↓, Angulo J. ↑,
81', Romero F. ↓, Gutierrez E. ↑,
84', Martinez D. ↓, Shaffelburg J. ↑,
90+1', 0 - 1, Segura E. ⚽,

Preview

Recent performances by Toluca have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Los Angeles is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Recently, Toluca has had a series of home games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Toluca won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:2. (average 2.5:1).

Including home match between the teams, Toluca won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:0.

Last Results with these Odds

Los Angeles - the odds 2.51 are the expected chance of winning is 37.64%, but this team recently wins 73% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Toluca
CONCACAF League Cup
05.08.26	Toluca - Seattle Sounders	3:0 ✺
Mexican Liga MX
02.08.26	Toluca - Necaxa	3:1 ✺
Mexican Campeon de Campeones
25.07.26	Toluca - Cruz Azul	1:3 ✺
Mexican Liga MX
21.07.26	Toluca - UNAM	1:2 ✺
18.07.26	Chivas Guadalajara - Toluca	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WWLLW
- Los Angeles FC
CONCACAF League Cup
05.08.26	Los Angeles - Chivas Guadalajara	2:1 penalties ✺
MLS
01.08.26	Vancouver Whitecaps - Los Angeles	1:1 ✺
25.07.26	Los Angeles - Sporting Kansas City	4:0 ✺
22.07.26	Los Angeles - Real Salt Lake	3:1 ✺
17.07.26	Los Angeles Galaxy - Los Angeles	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.2 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

CONCACAF Champions Cup
06.05.26	Toluca - Los Angeles	4:0
29.04.26	Los Angeles - Toluca	2:1

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