Match Info
Date: 16 January 2021, Saturday
|
 |
|
 |
|
|
Tondela |
|
Boavista |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
3.6 |
3.3 |
2.05 |
 Watch |
 |
3.4 |
3.3 |
2.1 |
|
 |
3.4 |
3.2 |
2.16 |
|
 |
3.6 |
3.2 |
2.08 |
|
 |
3.76 |
3.36 |
2.15 |
|
 |
3.6 |
3.2 |
2.15 |
|
 |
3.5 |
3.42 |
2.12 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.55 ↑
(3.07) |
3.28 ↑
(3.18) |
2.12 ↓
(2.39) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
- The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Tondela
26.6% | Draw
28.8% | Boavista
44.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tondela has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)Boavista has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Boavista's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tondela than the current prediction. (+17.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tondela, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Boavista than the current prediction. (-17.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Boavista, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.Tondela - Boavista Predictions
Users Predictions:
75 users predict this event. Tondela will win (votes: 13 - 17.3%). Boavista will win (votes: 48 - 64%). It will Tie (votes: 14 - 18.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Boavista: 53.1% – 74.9%.Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Preview
No spectators. We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 15 and 17 in the zone Relegation to Liga Portugal 2).Tondela has a chance of relegated (37%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%). Both teams are in bad shape now. Boavista could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents. Boavista will have a mini benefit in this match.
Last 13 head-to-head matches Tondela won 3 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 9-11. Including matches at home between the teams Tondela won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8-6.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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