Match Info

Liga Portugal - Round 30

Date: 19 April 2026, Sunday

Location: Estádio do Dragão (Porto)

Referee: Pereira C. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Porto		Tondela

	1	X	2
	1.11	7	21	Watch
	1.15	6.4	22	Watch
	1.15	8.26	25.87
	1.16	7.19	21.49	Watch
	1.15	7	21
	1.16	7.99	24	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.15 ↓ (1.23)	7.31 ↑ (6.4)	22.56 ↑ (16)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Porto
82.8%

Draw
13%

Tondela
4.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

78.8%

15.1%

6.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Porto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

Tondela has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
94.7%	5.3%	0%

Porto - Tondela Predictions

Users Predictions: Porto will win (18 of 19 users predict this - 94.74%).
Confidence interval (95%): 84.7% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
99. Costa D. (C) 20. Costa A. 5. Bednarek J. 4. Kiwior J. 12. Zaidu 8. Froholdt V. 22. Varela A. 86. Mora R. 11. Pepê 27. Gul D. 77. Pietuszewski O.	31. Bernardo (G) 48. Manso T. (C) 44. Silva J. 4. Marques C. 20. Medina B. 27. Conceicao R. 7. Pedro Maranhao 10. Hodge J. 32. Rodriguez J. 70. Ouattara M. 16. Rony Lopes
Substitutes
14. Claudio Ramos (G) 42. Fofana S. 29. Moffi T. 74. Moura F. 13. Rosario P. 17. Sainz B. 3. Thiago Silva 10. Veiga G. 7. William Gomes	5. Afonso J. 90. Aiko M. 2. Bebeto 30. Canizares L. (G) 79. Felix H. 60. Maviram E. 15. Sithole S. 8. Tavares H. 26. van der Heide A.
Coaches
Farioli F.	Feio G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
19', Kiwior J. 🟨,
20', Costa D. 🟨,
35', Mora R. 🟨,
39', Varela A. (Penalty Awarded),
45+3', Hodge J. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Kiwior J. ↓, Rosario P. ↑,
46', Mora R. ↓, Veiga G. ↑,
48', 1 - 0, Veiga G. ⚽, Gul D. (A),
51', Marques C. 🟨,
63', Zaidu ↓, Thiago Silva ↑,
63', Ouattara M. ↓, Sithole S. ↑,
64', Hodge J. ↓, Aiko M. ↑,
66', 2 - 0, Froholdt V. ⚽,
70', Pietuszewski O. ↓, William Gomes ↑,
70', Pedro Maranhao ↓, van der Heide A. ↑,
70', Medina B. ↓, Afonso J. ↑,
78', Rony Lopes ↓, Felix H. ↑,
80', Sithole S. 🟨,
85', Costa A. 🟨,
88', Gul D. ↓, Fofana S. ↑,
90', Veiga G. 🟨,
90', Felix H. 🟨,
90+3', Conceicao R. 🟨,

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Porto won 5.

Porto has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Tondela is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Tondela may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Tondela has had a series of home games.

In this match, Porto is the undeniable favorite.

There will not play in Porto: Fernandes M. (Injury) Perez N. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Samu (Knee Injury) de Jong L. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Tondela: Bebeto (Yellow Cards) Cicero (Muscle Injury) Huarte X. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Tondela: Vita R. (Inactive)

In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Porto won 16 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 40:8. (average 2.2:0.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Porto won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 25:6. (average 2.5:0.6).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	FC Porto	8	8	0	0	20:4	16	24

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Porto
UEFA Europa League
16.04.26	Nottingham Forest - Porto	1:0 ✺
Liga Portugal
12.04.26	Estoril Praia - Porto	1:3 ✺
UEFA Europa League
09.04.26	Porto - Nottingham Forest	1:1 ✺
Liga Portugal
04.04.26	Porto - Famalicão	2:2 ✺
22.03.26	Braga - Porto	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LWTTW
- CD Tondela
Liga Portugal
13.04.26	Tondela - Gil Vicente	2:2 ✺
03.04.26	Vitoria Guimarães - Tondela	5:0 ✺
21.03.26	Tondela - AVS	0:0 ✺
09.03.26	Tondela - Rio Ave	0:1 ✺
01.03.26	Tondela - Santa Clara	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 TLTLT

Latest Head to Head

Liga Portugal
07.12.25	Tondela - Porto	0:2
Portuguese Super Cup
30.07.22	Porto - Tondela	3:0
Taça de Portugal
22.05.22	Porto - Tondela	3:1
Liga Portugal
13.03.22	Porto - Tondela	4:0
23.10.21	Tondela - Porto	1:3
10.04.21	Tondela - Porto	0:2
Taça de Portugal
13.12.20	Porto - Tondela	2:1

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