Match Info

Serie A - Round 7

Date: 18 October 2025, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stadio Olimpico di Torino (Turin) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Marcenaro M. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	Azam Sports 1, New World Sport 2, New World Sport App
Albania	18:00	Tring Sport 1
Argentina	13:00	Disney+
Armenia	20:00	Fast Sports, Setanta Sports 1
Asia	—	STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
Australia	03:00	Amazon Prime Video, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Austria	18:00	DAZN
Azerbaijan	20:00	Setanta Sports 1
Bosnia And Herzegovina	18:00	Arena Sport 2
Brazil	13:00	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	19:00	Max Sport 3
Canada	12:00	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
Chile	13:00	Disney+
China	00:00	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	11:00	Disney+
Croatia	18:00	Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	19:00	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
Czech Republic	18:00	Sport 1
Denmark	18:00	TV2 Play
Europe	—	Setanta Sports 1 Baltic
Finland	19:00	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+
France	18:00	DAZN France
Georgia	20:00	Setanta Sports 1
Germany	18:00	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch
Greece	19:00	COSMOTE Sport 3
Hong Kong	00:00	beIN Sports 3, M Plus Live
Hungary	18:00	Match 4
Indonesia	23:00	Vidio
Italy	18:00	214 DAZN Zona, DAZN 1, DAZN Italia, SKY Go Italia
Japan	01:00	DAZN Japan
Kosovo	18:00	Arena Premium 4, ART Sport 1
Kuwait	19:00	Shasha
Kyrgyzstan	22:00	Setanta Sports 1
Macao	00:00	Macau Cable TV 34 Football
Malaysia	00:00	Astro Football, Astro Go, Sooka
Malta	18:00	GO TV, TSN Malta 3
Mexico	10:00	Disney+, ESPN
Moldova	19:00	Setanta Sports 1
Netherlands	18:00	Ziggo Sport 2
New Zealand	05:00	beIN Connect
North Central America	—	Disney+ Caribbean, ESPN 2 Caribbean, ESPN Norte
Norway	18:00	VG+
Peru	11:00	Disney+
Poland	18:00	Eleven Sports 3, Polsat Sport Premium 1
Portugal	17:00	Sport TV2
Romania	19:00	Digi Online, Digi Sport 4, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 3
Russia	19:00	MATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Saudi Arabia	19:00	STC TV
Serbia	18:00	Arena Premium 4
Slovakia	18:00	Sport 1
Slovenia	18:00	Arena Sport 4
South Korea	01:00	SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime 2
Spain	18:00	DAZN Espana
Sweden	18:00	TV4 Play, TV4 Sportkanalen
Switzerland	18:00	DAZN Switzerland
Tajikistan	21:00	Setanta Sports 1
Thailand	23:00	True ID, True Premier Football 3
Turkey	19:00	S Sport 2, S Sport+
Turkmenistan	21:00	Setanta Sports 1
Ukraine	19:00	MEGOGO Futbol 2, MEGOGO Ukraine
United Kingdom	17:00	DAZN, DAZN UK
Uruguay	13:00	Disney+
Usa	12:00	CBS Sports Golazo, DAZN USA, Fox Deportes, Fox Deportes, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com, Fox, Paramount+
Uzbekistan	21:00	Setanta Sports 1
Venezuela	12:00	Disney+
Vietnam	23:00	K+, ON Football, ON Plus, VTVcab


	Torino		Napoli

	1	X	2
	5.25	3.25	1.8	Watch
	5.4	3.45	1.75	Watch
	5.34	3.34	1.84
	1.95	2.97	4.66	Watch
	4.96	3.66	1.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.58 ↓ (5.32)	3.33 ↓ (3.53)	2.38 ↑ (1.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Torino
23.3%

Draw
32%

Napoli
44.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

17.9%

27%

55%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.6%

26.6%

55.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Torino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Torino's performance.

Napoli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Napoli might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Torino than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Torino that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Napoli than the current prediction. (+11%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Napoli could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
9.3%	13%	77.8%

Torino - Napoli Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.5 - Torino (2.03) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Napoli will win (42 of 53 users predict this - 79.25%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.33% – 90.17%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Napoli will win (11 of 12 users predict this - 91.67%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 13 Selected Experts predict this event. Torino (votes: 1 - 7.7%). Napoli (votes: 11 - 84.6%). Tie (votes: 1 - 7.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
81. Israel F. (G) 61. Tameze A. 13. Maripan G. 23. Coco S. 16. Pedersen M. 22. Casadei C. 32. Asllani K. 25. Nkounkou N. 10. Vlasic N. (C) 18. Simeone G. 19. Adams C.	32. Milinkovic-Savic V. (G) 22. Di Lorenzo G. (C) 31. Beukema S. 5. Juan Jesus 17. Olivera M. 6. Gilmour B. 7. David Neres 99. Anguissa F. 11. De Bruyne K. 37. Spinazzola L. 27. Lucca L.
Substitutes
34. Biraghi C. 21. Dembele A. 66. Gineitis G. 8. Ilic I. 6. Ilkhan E. 44. Ismajli A. 20. Lazaro V. 5. Masina A. 26. Ngonge C. 92. Njie A. 1. Paleari A. (G) 71. Popa M. (G) 91. Zapata D.	69. Ambrosino G. 4. Buongiorno A. 20. Elmas E. 25. Ferrante M. (G) 3. Gutierrez M. 70. Lang N. 35. Marianucci L. 30. Mazzocchi P. 1. Meret A. (G) 21. Politano M. 26. Vergara A.
Coaches
Baroni M.	Conte A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
10', Juan Jesus 🟨,
32', 1 - 0, Simeone G. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
47', Israel F. 🟨,
62', Simeone G. ↓, Ngonge C. ↑,
63', Olivera M. ↓, Lang N. ↑,
64', Juan Jesus ↓, Buongiorno A. ↑,
74', Lucca L. ↓, Ambrosino G. ↑,
74', David Neres ↓, Politano M. ↑,
75', Nkounkou N. ↓, Biraghi C. ↑,
75', Vlasic N. ↓, Gineitis G. ↑,
82', Gilmour B. ↓, Elmas E. ↑,
84', Adams C. ↓, Zapata D. ↑,
84', Asllani K. ↓, Ismajli A. ↑,
90+4', Lang N. 🟨,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 16 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Torino won 1.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

In this match, Napoli is a strong favorite.

There will not play in Torino: Aboukhlal Z. (Thigh Injury) Anjorin F. (Foot Injury) Savva Z. (Knee Injury) Sazonov S. (Knee Injury) Schuurs P. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Napoli: Lobotka S. (Muscle Injury) Lukaku R. (Thigh Injury) Rrahmani A. (Thigh Injury)

There are questionable in Torino: Ilic I. (Calf Injury) Ismajli A. (Thigh Injury)

There are questionable in Napoli: Contini N. (Hand Injury) Milinkovic-Savic V. (Back Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Torino won 1 match, drew 5 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 16:40. (average 0.8:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Torino won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 8 matches, and goals 6:21. (average 0.6:2.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Torino FC
Italian Serie A
04.10.25	Lazio - Torino	3:3 ✺
29.09.25	Parma - Torino	2:1 ✺
Coppa Italia
25.09.25	Torino - Pisa	1:0 ✺
Italian Serie A
21.09.25	Torino - Atalanta	0:3 ✺
14.09.25	Roma - Torino	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.1 TLWLW
- SSC Napoli
Italian Serie A
05.10.25	Napoli - Genoa	2:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
01.10.25	Napoli - Sporting Lisbon	2:1 ✺
Italian Serie A
28.09.25	Milan - Napoli	2:1 ✺
22.09.25	Napoli - Pisa	3:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League
18.09.25	Manchester City - Napoli	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
27.04.25	Napoli - Torino	2:0
01.12.24	Torino - Napoli	0:1
08.03.24	Napoli - Torino	1:1
07.01.24	Torino - Napoli	3:0
19.03.23	Torino - Napoli	0:4
01.10.22	Napoli - Torino	3:1
07.05.22	Torino - Napoli	0:1

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