Match Info

Serie A - Round 7

Date: 18 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Stadio Olimpico di Torino (Turin)

Referee: Marcenaro M. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 1, New World Sport 2, New World Sport App
Albania	Tring Sport 1
Argentina	Disney+
Armenia	Fast Sports, Setanta Sports 1
Asia	STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
Australia	Amazon Prime Video, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Austria	DAZN
Azerbaijan	Setanta Sports 1
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 2
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	Max Sport 3
Canada	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
Chile	Disney+
China	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
Czech-republic	Sport 1
Denmark	TV2 Play
Europe	Setanta Sports 1 Baltic
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+
France	DAZN France
Georgia	Setanta Sports 1
Germany	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 3
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 3, M Plus Live
Hungary	Match 4
Indonesia	Vidio
Italy	214 DAZN Zona, DAZN 1, DAZN Italia, SKY Go Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kosovo	Arena Premium 4, ART Sport 1
Kuwait	Shasha
Kyrgyzstan	Setanta Sports 1
Macao	Macau Cable TV 34 Football
Malaysia	Astro Football, Astro Go, Sooka
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 3
Mexico	Disney+, ESPN
Moldova	Setanta Sports 1
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 2
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean, ESPN 2 Caribbean, ESPN Norte
Norway	VG+
Peru	Disney+
Poland	Eleven Sports 3, Polsat Sport Premium 1
Portugal	Sport TV2
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 4, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 3
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Saudi-arabia	STC TV
Serbia	Arena Premium 4
Slovakia	Sport 1
Slovenia	Arena Sport 4
South-korea	SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime 2
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	TV4 Play, TV4 Sportkanalen
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Tajikistan	Setanta Sports 1
Thailand	True ID, True Premier Football 3
Turkey	S Sport 2, S Sport+
Turkmenistan	Setanta Sports 1
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 2, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	DAZN, DAZN UK
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	CBS Sports Golazo, DAZN USA, Fox Deportes, Fox Deportes, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com, Fox, Paramount+
Uzbekistan	Setanta Sports 1
Venezuela	Disney+
Vietnam	K+, ON Football, ON Plus, VTVcab


	Torino		Napoli

	1	X	2
	5.25	3.25	1.8	Watch
	5.4	3.45	1.75	Watch
	5.34	3.34	1.84
	1.95	2.97	4.66	Watch
	4.96	3.66	1.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.58 ↓ (5.32)	3.33 ↓ (3.53)	2.38 ↑ (1.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Torino
23.3%

Draw
32%

Napoli
44.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17.9%

27%

55%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.6%

26.6%

55.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Torino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Torino's performance.

Napoli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Napoli might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Torino than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Torino that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Napoli than the current prediction. (+11%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Napoli could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
9.3%	13%	77.8%

Torino - Napoli Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.5 - Torino (2.03) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Napoli will win (42 of 53 users predict this - 79.25%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.33% – 90.17%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Napoli will win (11 of 12 users predict this - 91.67%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 13 Selected Experts predict this event. Torino (votes: 1 - 7.7%). Napoli (votes: 11 - 84.6%). Tie (votes: 1 - 7.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
81. Israel F. (G) 61. Tameze A. 13. Maripan G. 23. Coco S. 16. Pedersen M. 22. Casadei C. 32. Asllani K. 25. Nkounkou N. 10. Vlasic N. (C) 18. Simeone G. 19. Adams C.	32. Milinkovic-Savic V. (G) 22. Di Lorenzo G. (C) 31. Beukema S. 5. Juan Jesus 17. Olivera M. 6. Gilmour B. 7. David Neres 99. Anguissa F. 11. De Bruyne K. 37. Spinazzola L. 27. Lucca L.
Substitutes
34. Biraghi C. 21. Dembele A. 66. Gineitis G. 8. Ilic I. 6. Ilkhan E. 44. Ismajli A. 20. Lazaro V. 5. Masina A. 26. Ngonge C. 92. Njie A. 1. Paleari A. (G) 71. Popa M. (G) 91. Zapata D.	69. Ambrosino G. 4. Buongiorno A. 20. Elmas E. 25. Ferrante M. (G) 3. Gutierrez M. 70. Lang N. 35. Marianucci L. 30. Mazzocchi P. 1. Meret A. (G) 21. Politano M. 26. Vergara A.
Coaches
Baroni M.	Conte A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
10', Juan Jesus 🟨,
32', 1 - 0, Simeone G. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
47', Israel F. 🟨,
62', Simeone G. ↓, Ngonge C. ↑,
63', Olivera M. ↓, Lang N. ↑,
64', Juan Jesus ↓, Buongiorno A. ↑,
74', Lucca L. ↓, Ambrosino G. ↑,
74', David Neres ↓, Politano M. ↑,
75', Nkounkou N. ↓, Biraghi C. ↑,
75', Vlasic N. ↓, Gineitis G. ↑,
82', Gilmour B. ↓, Elmas E. ↑,
84', Adams C. ↓, Zapata D. ↑,
84', Asllani K. ↓, Ismajli A. ↑,
90+4', Lang N. 🟨,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 16 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Torino won 1.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

In this match, Napoli is a strong favorite.

There will not play in Torino: Aboukhlal Z. (Thigh Injury) Anjorin F. (Foot Injury) Savva Z. (Knee Injury) Sazonov S. (Knee Injury) Schuurs P. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Napoli: Lobotka S. (Muscle Injury) Lukaku R. (Thigh Injury) Rrahmani A. (Thigh Injury)

There are questionable in Torino: Ilic I. (Calf Injury) Ismajli A. (Thigh Injury)

There are questionable in Napoli: Contini N. (Hand Injury) Milinkovic-Savic V. (Back Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Torino won 1 match, drew 5 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 16:40. (average 0.8:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Torino won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 8 matches, and goals 6:21. (average 0.6:2.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Torino FC
Italian Serie A
04.10.25	Lazio - Torino	3:3 ✺
29.09.25	Parma - Torino	2:1 ✺
Coppa Italia
25.09.25	Torino - Pisa	1:0 ✺
Italian Serie A
21.09.25	Torino - Atalanta	0:3 ✺
14.09.25	Roma - Torino	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.1 TLWLW
- SSC Napoli
Italian Serie A
05.10.25	Napoli - Genoa	2:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
01.10.25	Napoli - Sporting Lisbon	2:1 ✺
Italian Serie A
28.09.25	Milan - Napoli	2:1 ✺
22.09.25	Napoli - Pisa	3:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League
18.09.25	Manchester City - Napoli	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
27.04.25	Napoli - Torino	2:0
01.12.24	Torino - Napoli	0:1
08.03.24	Napoli - Torino	1:1
07.01.24	Torino - Napoli	3:0
19.03.23	Torino - Napoli	0:4
01.10.22	Napoli - Torino	3:1
07.05.22	Torino - Napoli	0:1

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