Match Info

Serie A - Round 6

Date: 4 October 2025, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stadio Olimpico (Rome) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Piccinini M. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	New World Sport 2, ZAP
Albania	15:00	Tring Sport 1
Angola	14:00	Z Sports 1
Argentina	10:00	Disney+
Asia	—	STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
Australia	23:00	Amazon Prime Video, beIN Connect
Austria	15:00	DAZN
Bosnia And Herzegovina	15:00	Arena Sport 2
Brazil	10:00	Disney+
Bulgaria	16:00	Max Sport 3
Canada	09:00	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
Chile	10:00	Disney+
China	21:00	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	08:00	Disney+
Croatia	15:00	Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	16:00	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
Czech Republic	15:00	Sport 1
Denmark	15:00	TV2 Play
Finland	16:00	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+
France	15:00	DAZN France
Germany	15:00	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch
Greece	16:00	COSMOTE Sport 3
Hong Kong	21:00	beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX, M Plus Live
Indonesia	20:00	Vidio
Italy	15:00	214 DAZN Zona, DAZN Italia, SKY Go Italia
Japan	22:00	DAZN Japan
Kosovo	15:00	Arena Premium 3
Kuwait	16:00	Shasha
Macao	21:00	Macau Cable TV 34 Football
Malaysia	21:00	Astro Arena Bola 2, Astro Go
Malta	15:00	GO TV, TSN Malta 3
Mexico	07:00	Disney+, ESPN
Netherlands	15:00	Ziggo Sport 2
New Zealand	02:00	beIN Connect
North Central America	—	ESPN Norte
Norway	15:00	VG+
Peru	08:00	Disney+
Poland	15:00	Eleven Sports 4
Portugal	14:00	Sport TV3
Romania	16:00	Digi Online, Digi Sport 3, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 3
Russia	16:00	MATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Saudi Arabia	16:00	STC TV
Serbia	15:00	Arena Premium 3
Slovakia	15:00	Sport 1
Slovenia	15:00	Arena Sport 2
South Korea	22:00	SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime
Spain	15:00	DAZN Espana
Sweden	15:00	TV4 Play
Switzerland	15:00	DAZN Switzerland
Thailand	20:00	True Premier Football 3
Turkey	16:00	S Sport 2, S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 1
Ukraine	16:00	MEGOGO Futbol 2, MEGOGO Ukraine
United Kingdom	14:00	DAZN
Uruguay	10:00	Disney+
Usa	09:00	DAZN USA, Fox Deportes, Fox Deportes, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com, Fox, Paramount+
Venezuela	09:00	Disney+


	Lazio		Torino

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.25	4.5	Watch
	1.8	3.5	4.75
	1.82	3.35	4.95	Watch
	2.14	3.25	4.18
	1.32	4.41	12.40	Watch
	1.94	3.44	4.76
	1.84	3.4	4.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↑ (1.69)	3.51 ↓ (3.82)	5.77 ↑ (5.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 1.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lazio
54.6%

Draw
28.2%

Torino
17.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

56.7%

25.1%

18.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.8%

24.7%

18.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lazio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Torino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lazio than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Torino than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	5.6%	11.1%

Lazio - Torino Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.25 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 1.25, 1st Half - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Lazio will win (28 of 33 users predict this - 84.85%).
Confidence interval (95%): 72.62% – 97.08%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Lazio will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
94. Provedel I. (G) 23. Hysaj E. 34. Gila M. 13. Romagnoli A. 17. Tavares N. 32. Cataldi D. (C) 26. Basic T. 22. Cancellieri M. 19. Dia B. 9. Pedro 11. Castellanos T.	81. Israel F. (G) 16. Pedersen M. 23. Coco S. 13. Maripan G. 20. Lazaro V. 22. Casadei C. 32. Asllani K. 61. Tameze A. 26. Ngonge C. 18. Simeone G. 10. Vlasic N. (C)
Substitutes
21. Belahyane R. 71. Farcomeni V. 55. Furlanetto A. (G) 18. Isaksen G. 29. Lazzari M. 35. Mandas C. (G) 14. Noslin T. 4. Patric 66. Pinelli P. 25. Provstgaard O.	7. Aboukhlal Z. 19. Adams C. 34. Biraghi C. 21. Dembele A. 66. Gineitis G. 8. Ilic I. 6. Ilkhan E. 5. Masina A. 92. Njie A. 25. Nkounkou N. 1. Paleari A. (G) 71. Popa M. (G) 91. Zapata D.
Coaches
Sarri M.	Baroni M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
16', 0 - 1, Simeone G. ⚽,
24', 1 - 1, Cancellieri M. ⚽, Pedro (A),
32', Asllani K. 🟨,
40', 2 - 1, Cancellieri M. ⚽, Basic T. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 2)
47', Romagnoli A. 🟨,
60', Casadei C. 🟨,
63', Lazaro V. ↓, Nkounkou N. ↑,
67', Basic T. ↓, Belahyane R. ↑,
67', Pedro ↓, Isaksen G. ↑,
70', Vlasic N. ↓, Adams C. ↑,
70', Tameze A. ↓, Masina A. ↑,
73', 2 - 2, Adams C. ⚽, Nkounkou N. (A),
79', Pedersen M. ↓, Dembele A. ↑,
79', Simeone G. ↓, Gineitis G. ↑,
81', Dia B. ↓, Noslin T. ↑,
87', Cataldi D. 🟨,
90', Tavares N. ↓, Lazzari M. ↑,
90+2', 2 - 3, Coco S. ⚽, Masina A. (A),
90+6', Castellanos T. 🟨,
90+12', Maripan G. 🟨,
90+13', 3 - 3, Cataldi D. (Pen),

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 13 and 15).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lazio won 3.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Torino may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Lazio is the team to beat.

There will not play in Lazio: Dele-Bashiru F. (Injury) Gigot S. (Back Injury) Guendouzi M. (Red Card) Marusic A. (Muscle Injury) Rovella N. (Groin Injury)

There will not play in Torino: Ismajli A. (Muscle Injury) Savva Z. (Knee Injury) Sazonov S. (Knee Injury) Schuurs P. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Lazio: Lazzari M. (Calf Injury) Pellegrini Lu. (Knee Injury) Vecino M. (Thigh Injury)

There are questionable in Torino: Anjorin F. (Foot Injury) Ilic I. (Inactive)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Lazio won 9 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 33:21. (average 1.7:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Lazio won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:8. (average 1.6:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SS Lazio
Italian Serie A
29.09.25	Genoa - Lazio	0:3 ✺
21.09.25	Lazio - Roma	0:1 ✺
14.09.25	Sassuolo - Lazio	1:0 ✺
31.08.25	Lazio - Verona	4:0 ✺
24.08.25	Como - Lazio	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WLLWL
- Torino FC
Italian Serie A
29.09.25	Parma - Torino	2:1 ✺
Coppa Italia
25.09.25	Torino - Pisa	1:0 ✺
Italian Serie A
21.09.25	Torino - Atalanta	0:3 ✺
14.09.25	Roma - Torino	0:1 ✺
31.08.25	Torino - Fiorentina	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.5 LWLWT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
31.03.25	Lazio - Torino	1:1
29.09.24	Torino - Lazio	2:3
22.02.24	Torino - Lazio	0:2
27.09.23	Lazio - Torino	2:0
22.04.23	Lazio - Torino	0:1
20.08.22	Torino - Lazio	0:0
16.04.22	Lazio - Torino	1:1

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