Match Info

MLS

Date: 18 April 2026, Saturday

Location: BMO Field (Toronto, ON)

Referee: Fischer D. (Can)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	MLS Season Pass
World	Apple TV International


	Toronto FC		Austin FC

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.3	3.4	Watch
	2.22	3.2	3.45	Watch
	2.24	3.3	3.64
	2.13	3.28	3.59	Watch
	2.1	3.25	3.25
	2.22	3.4	3.5	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.17 ↑ (2.1)	3.29 ↓ (3.42)	3.47 ↑ (3.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Toronto FC
43.8%

Draw
28.9%

Austin FC
27.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.4%

27.2%

28.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.6%

27.1%

28.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Toronto FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Austin FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toronto FC than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Austin FC than the current prediction. (+1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	7.1%	7.1%

Toronto FC - Austin FC Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Toronto (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.5 - Austin (1.85) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Toronto FC will win (12 of 14 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 67.38% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Toronto (votes: 1 - 50%). Austin (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Gavran L. (G) 19. Franklin K. 22. Laryea R. 12. Monlouis Z. 44. Edwards R. 14. Coello A. 8. Cifuentes J. 21. Osorio J. 11. Etienne D. 9. Sargent J. 20. Salloi D.	1. Stuver B. (G) 3. Desler M. 5. Svatok O. 15. Bell J. 29. Guilherme Biro 17. Gallagher J. 20. Dubersarsky N. 30. Rosales J. 7. Nelson J. 11. Torres F. 10. Uzuni M.
Substitutes
17. Aristizabal E. 71. Cimermancic M. 75. Fisher R. 38. Gilman J. 78. Henry M. 29. Kerr D. 76. Stefanovic L. 99. Vilsaint J. 23. Yarbrough W. (G)	35. Djordjevic M. 19. Fodrey C. 23. Kolmanic Z. 12. Las D. (G) 21. Ramirez C. 14. Sabovic B. 6. Sanchez I. 16. Taylor R. 38. Torres E.
Coaches
Fraser R.	Estevez N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
12', Dubersarsky N. 🟨,
29', 0 - 1, Bell J. ⚽,
43', Edwards R. 🟨,
45+2', Guilherme Biro 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 2)
52', 1 - 1, Salloi D. ⚽,
53', Cifuentes J. 🟨,
58', Nelson J. ↓, Taylor R. ↑,
62', Etienne D. ↓, Henry M. ↑,
62', Edwards R. ↓, Stefanovic L. ↑,
68', 2 - 1, Laryea R. ⚽,
71', Desler M. ↓, Ramirez C. ↑,
71', Dubersarsky N. ↓, Sabovic B. ↑,
78', 2 - 2, Torres F. ⚽, Taylor R. (A), Uzuni M. (A2)
79', Stefanovic L. 🟨,
82', 2 - 3, Ramirez C. ⚽,
88', 3 - 3, Franklin K. ⚽,
89', Coello A. 🟨,
90+4', Rosales J. ↓, Sanchez I. ↑,
90+4', Uzuni M. ↓, Fodrey C. ↑,
90+4', Cifuentes J. ↓, Aristizabal E. ↑,
90+10', Aristizabal E. 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 13).

Toronto is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Austin has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Toronto may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Toronto has had a series of home games.

In this match, Toronto is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Toronto: Corbeanu T. (Knee Injury) Gomis N. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Mihailovic D. (Pelvis Injury) Wingo H. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Austin: Vazquez B. (Knee Injury) Wolff O. (Groin Injury)

There are questionable in Toronto: Kerr D. (Groin Injury) Zimmerman W. (Calf Injury)

There are questionable in Austin: Pereira D. (Injury) Sanchez I. (Injury)

We predict that Toronto will win today's game, with odds of 1.88.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Toronto won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).

Including home match between the teams, Toronto won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Toronto FC
MLS
11.04.26	Toronto FC - Cincinnati	1:1 ✺
04.04.26	Toronto FC - Colorado Rapids	3:2 ✺
21.03.26	Toronto FC - Columbus Crew	2:1 ✺
14.03.26	Toronto FC - New York Red Bulls	1:1 ✺
08.03.26	Cincinnati - Toronto FC	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.2 TWWTW
- Austin FC
US Open Cup
14.04.26	Louisville City - Austin FC	2:1 ✺
MLS
11.04.26	Austin FC - Los Angeles Galaxy	1:2 ✺
04.04.26	Inter Miami - Austin FC	2:2 ✺
21.03.26	Austin FC - Los Angeles	0:0 ✺
14.03.26	Real Salt Lake - Austin FC	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 LLTTL

Latest Head to Head

MLS
14.09.24	Toronto FC - Austin FC	2:1
20.05.23	Austin FC - Toronto FC	1:0

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