Network on TV: My Network TV (KZJO - Seattle-Tacoma, WA)
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Current Win Probability
Toronto FC 36.3%
Draw 26%
Seattle Sounders 37.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
36%
24.9%
39.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
32.3%
27.8%
43.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Toronto FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
Seattle Sounders has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Toronto FC than the current prediction. (-4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Seattle Sounders than the current prediction. (+6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Seattle Sounders could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
41.2%
47.1%
11.8%
Toronto FC - Seattle Sounders Predictions
Users Predictions:
34 users predict this event. Toronto will win (votes: 14 - 41.2%). Seattle will win (votes: 4 - 11.8%). It will Tie (votes: 16 - 47.1%). Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 30.3% – 63.9%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 12 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
Toronto has the most likely position - 14 (20.74%), has project points - 37, has currently - 18, has a small chance of playoffs (11%), has a very small chance of first-round bye (<1%), has a very small chance of supporters shield (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Seattle has the most likely position - 5 (11.4%), has project points - 49, has currently - 23, has a good chance of playoffs (64%), has a very small chance of first-round bye (2%), has a very small chance of supporters shield (1%), has a very small chance of win league (3%).
This event has quality36, small importance17, small match rating27. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Last 5 head-to-head matches Toronto won 2.
Recent matches Toronto is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Seattle is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Toronto could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Recently Seattle have a series of home games.
In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
There will not play in Toronto: Okello N.
(Injury)
There will not play in Seattle: Arreaga X.
(Injury)
Paulo J.
(Injury)
Ruidiaz R.
(Injury)
Vargas O.
(Injury)
Last 10 head-to-head matches Toronto won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 12-15.
Including matches at home between the teams Toronto won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5-6.