Match Info

FNL - Round 15

Date: 23 October 2026, Friday

Location: Arena Khimki (Khimki)

Referee: Zhuravlev O. (Rus)

Where to Watch on TV:


Belarus	Sport TV
Russia	Match TV, Sportbox.ru


	Torpedo Moscow		Rotor

	1	X	2
	1.96	3.39	4.16
	1.95	3.30	4.05
	2.15	3.32	3.57	Watch
	2.06	3.10	3.20
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.03 ↑ (1.89)	3.28 ↓ (3.36)	3.75 ↓ (4.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Torpedo Moscow
46.3%

Draw
28.7%

Rotor
25.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

49.7%

27.9%

22.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.6%

26.9%

21.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Torpedo Moscow has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

Rotor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Torpedo Moscow than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Torpedo Moscow, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rotor than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Torpedo Moscow - Rotor Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Torpedo will win (votes: 3 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Torpedo Moscow will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Soldatenko R. (G) 11. Apekov R. 17. Berkovsky I. 4. Borodin S. (C) 2. Bozov N. 97. Curic M. 9. Oganesyan S. 20. Okoronkwo J. 24. Pogosov A. 99. Shevchenko G. 10. Tsypchenko D.	13. Chagrov N. (G) 15. Danilkin E. 11. Eldarushev A. 25. Emerson 29. Khityaev A. 28. Khubulov A. 24. Kleshchenko A. (C) 2. Manelov I. 18. Rodionov I. 10. Simonyan A. 5. Troshechkin A.
Substitutes
8. Ajibona U. 84. Churilov V. 21. Galoyan A. 3. Ivankov A. 79. Kashtanov A. 58. Ladokha D. (G) 48. Mokrousov S. (G) 5. Moskvichev V. 27. Orekhov A. 22. Parkhomenko K. 90. Roganovic B. 7. Yushin A.	9. Aliev S. 8. Ayupov T. 7. Khokhlachev A. 20. Litvenok I. (G) 16. Poyarkov N. 12. Revazov A. 1. Sugrobov V. (G) 4. Yudintsev G.
Coaches
Storozhuk A.	Parfenov D.

Preview

This match features a clash between a top-table contender and a mid-table team (ranked 3rd in the Promotion - Premier League (Promotion: ) and 9th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Torpedo won 2.

Torpedo has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Performances by Rotor have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Recently, Torpedo has faced a series of away games on the road.

Bookmakers give the edge to Torpedo for this game.

In the last 12 head-to-head meetings, Torpedo has recorded 5 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 10:8 (averaging 0.8:0.7 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Torpedo against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with 4:1 goals (averaging 0.8:0.2 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Torpedo Moscow	14	8	3	3	26:11	15	27
9	R. Volgograd	14	5	3	6	22:17	5	18

Outrights of Russian FNL for now

Torpedo Moscow: 7.12% R. Volgograd: 0.78%

Last Results with these Odds

Torpedo Moscow - the odds 1.89 are the expected chance of winning is 49.66%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Torpedo Moscow
Russian FNL
17.10.26	Yenisey Krasnoyarsk - Torpedo Moscow	1:2 ✺
10.10.26	Leningradets - Torpedo Moscow	1:3 ✺
Club Friendly
03.10.26	Torpedo-BelAZ - Torpedo Moscow	1:2 ✺
Russian FNL
27.09.26	Ufa - Torpedo Moscow	0:0 ✺
17.09.26	Torpedo Moscow - Veles Moscow	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WWWTT
- Rotor Volgograd
Russian FNL
16.10.26	Rotor - Sochi	0:1 ✺
10.10.26	Rotor - Volga Ulyanovsk	2:2 ✺
17.09.26	Tekstilshchik Ivanovo - Rotor	0:2 ✺
13.09.26	Rotor - Yenisey Krasnoyarsk	4:0 ✺
Russian Cup
09.09.26	Volna Kovernino - Rotor	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL
15.11.25	Torpedo Moscow - Rotor	2:0
25.08.25	Rotor - Torpedo Moscow	3:0
06.04.25	Torpedo Moscow - Rotor	0:1
22.07.24	Rotor - Torpedo Moscow	1:1
16.04.22	Torpedo Moscow - Rotor	1:0
03.10.21	Rotor - Torpedo Moscow	1:1
31.08.19	Rotor - Torpedo Moscow	0:2

Torpedo Moscow - Rotor: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide