Match Info

RUSSIA: FNL - ROUND 17

Date: 6 November 2023, Monday


	Torpedo Moscow		Volgar Astrakhan

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.71	5.47
	1.63	3.71	5.47
	1.62	3.7	5.3	Watch
	1.61	3.7	4.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↓ (2)	3.71 ↑ (3.3)	5.26 ↑ (4.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Torpedo Moscow
57.2%

Draw
25.1%

Volgar Astrakhan
17.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.9%

29.1%

23%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.7%

31.4%

21.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Torpedo Moscow has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Torpedo Moscow's performance.

Volgar Astrakhan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Volgar Astrakhan might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Torpedo Moscow than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Torpedo Moscow that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Volgar Astrakhan than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

Torpedo Moscow - Volgar Astrakhan Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Baburin E. (C) 2. Borodin S. 35. Enin I. 21. Gongadze G. 22. Gromyko V. 69. Manelov I. 65. Moskvichev V. 70. Poloz D. 16. Reyna Y. 77. Yuzepchuk R. 23. Zhuravlev Y.	71. Odoevski D. (G) 43. Gilyazetdinov A. 22. Khomukha I. 8. Klenkin D. 17. Lesnikov D. 28. Proshkin E. 55. Shlyakov E. 20. Smirnov D. 31. Tkachuk D. (C) 9. Zhamaletdinov T. 58. Zuev I.
Substitutes
89. Cherviakov R. 97. Curic M. 3. Ivankov A. 4. Kalugin N. 15. Orekhov A. 11. Shamkin D. 99. Shevchenko G. 9. Stefanovich I. 14. Usanov A. 74. Volkov M. (G)	44. Anisimov A. 15. Folmer K. 97. Gogrichiani G. 19. Kosarev K. 10. Martovoy D. 14. Poluboyarinov D. 42. Shaikhtdinov D. 99. Smirnov O. (G) 23. Ushatov K.
Coaches
Koneev A.	Pavlov S.

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Torpedo won 3.

Two teams are playing changeable.

Volgar could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Torpedo is a favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Torpedo won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Torpedo won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Torpedo Moscow
Russian FNL
28.10.23	Shinnik - Torpedo Moscow	1:1 ✺
22.10.23	Torpedo Moscow - SKA Khabarovsk	2:0 ✺
14.10.23	Kuban Krasnodar - Torpedo Moscow	2:1 ✺
09.10.23	Tyumen - Torpedo Moscow	0:0 ✺
01.10.23	Torpedo Moscow - Leningradets	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 TWLTL
- FC Volgar Astrakhan
Russian Cup
02.11.23	Akron Tolyatti - Volgar Astrakhan	0:1 ✺
Russian FNL
28.10.23	Volgar Astrakhan - Rodina Moscow	0:4 ✺
22.10.23	Volgar Astrakhan - Alania Vladikavkaz	1:0 ✺
Russian Cup
18.10.23	Volgar Astrakhan - Yenisey Krasnoyarsk	1:0 ✺
Russian FNL
14.10.23	Tyumen - Volgar Astrakhan	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.6 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
28.06.22	Torpedo Moscow - Volgar Astrakhan	1:1
Russian FNL
27.11.21	Torpedo Moscow - Volgar Astrakhan	1:0
21.08.21	Volgar Astrakhan - Torpedo Moscow	0:1
02.05.21	Torpedo Moscow - Volgar Astrakhan	1:0
07.11.20	Volgar Astrakhan - Torpedo Moscow	3:2
16.04.13	Volgar Astrakhan - Torpedo Moscow	0:1
17.09.12	Torpedo Moscow - Volgar Astrakhan	0:0

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