Match Info

RUSSIA: FNL - ROUND 16

Date: 28 October 2023, Saturday


	Volgar Astrakhan		Rodina Moscow

	1	X	2
	3.07	3.16	2.37
	2.75	3.17	2.64
	2.68	3.18	2.56	Watch
	2.7	3.15	2.43
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.8 ↓ (3.19)	3.17 ↓ (3.3)	2.5 ↑ (2.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Volgar Astrakhan
33.3%

Draw
29.4%

Rodina Moscow
37.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30%

29%

40.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.4%

29.6%

41.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Volgar Astrakhan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

Rodina Moscow has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Volgar Astrakhan than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rodina Moscow than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

Volgar Astrakhan - Rodina Moscow Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
99. Smirnov O. (G) 22. Khomukha I. 8. Klenkin D. 17. Lesnikov D. 70. Malyarov N. 14. Poluboyarinov D. 28. Proshkin E. 42. Shaikhtdinov D. 55. Shlyakov E. 31. Tkachuk D. 9. Zhamaletdinov T.	31. Shakerov R. (G) 78. Bakaev S. 34. Dmitriev O. 72. Gordyushenko A. 24. Kleshchenko A. 55. Krizan M. 37. Pliev Z. 99. Timoshenko I. 10. Turishchev M. 33. Wesley Nata 21. Yudintsev G.
Substitutes
44. Anisimov A. 15. Folmer K. 43. Gilyazetdinov A. 19. Kosarev K. 10. Martovoy D. 71. Odoevski D. (G) 20. Smirnov D. 23. Ushatov K. 58. Zuev I.	40. Bezchasnyuk A. 93. Gorodovoy A. (G) 8. Kamyshev I. 15. Kochiev K. 77. Nasyrov I. 70. Samko V. 22. Sultonov M.
Coaches
Pavlov S.	Artiga F.

Preview

Volgar is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Rodina is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Volgar won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Volgar won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Volgar Astrakhan
Russian FNL
22.10.23	Volgar Astrakhan - Alania Vladikavkaz	1:0 ✺
Russian Cup
18.10.23	Volgar Astrakhan - Yenisey Krasnoyarsk	1:0 ✺
Russian FNL
14.10.23	Tyumen - Volgar Astrakhan	1:0 ✺
08.10.23	Volgar Astrakhan - KAMAZ	2:1 ✺
01.10.23	Chernomorets Novorossiysk - Volgar Astrakhan	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.7 WWLWT
- Rodina Moscow
Russian FNL
23.10.23	Rodina Moscow - Dynamo Makhachkala	0:0 ✺
Russian Cup
19.10.23	Arsenal Tula - Rodina Moscow	1:2 ✺
Russian FNL
14.10.23	Rodina Moscow - Akron Tolyatti	0:1 ✺
08.10.23	Kuban Krasnodar - Rodina Moscow	1:0 ✺
02.10.23	Rodina Moscow - KAMAZ	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 TWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL
27.11.22	Volgar Astrakhan - Rodina Moscow	1:1
07.08.22	Rodina Moscow - Volgar Astrakhan	0:0

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