Match Info

PORTUGAL: LIGA PORTUGAL 2 - ROUND 16

Date: 6 January 2024, Saturday

Location: Estádio de São Miguel (Ponta Delgada)

Referee: Goncalves J. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Sport TV4


	Santa Clara		Mafra

	1	X	2
	1.6	3.75	6
	1.61	3.5	5
	1.63	3.6	5.5	Watch
	1.61	3.84	6.28
	1.62	3.84	6.28
	1.53	3.5	5.5
	1.62	3.7	5.39
	1.58	3.5	5.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↓ (1.71)	3.65 ↑ (3.3)	5.67 ↑ (4.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Santa Clara
58.1%

Draw
25.5%

Mafra
16.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.1%

27%

20.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.1%

25.5%

19.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Santa Clara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Santa Clara's performance.

Mafra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santa Clara than the current prediction. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mafra than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90.9%	9.1%	0%

Santa Clara - Mafra Predictions

Users Predictions: Santa Clara will win (10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.92% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Gabriel Batista (G) 23. Lima S. 4. Pacheco P. 13. Rocha L. 42. Lucas Soares 77. Klismahn G. 35. Serginho 16. Henrique P. (C) 19. Almeida B. 99. Rafael Martins 49. Gabriel Silva	16. Olafsson E. (G) 44. Texel P. 4. Goulart J. 19. Diao O. 5. Pedro Barcelos 15. Guilherme (C) 20. Miguel Sousa 6. Bravo P. 27. Nibe A. 9. Almeida D. 70. Lind J.
Substitutes
18. Ageu E. 11. Andrezinho 74. Diaz M. (G) 9. Joao Marcos 32. MT 25. Pires M. 10. Ricardinho 6. Velazquez S. 70. Vinicius Lopes	1. Andre Paulo (G) 80. Balburdia M. 2. Beni D. 3. Chriso 17. de Sousa Dias Pedro Lopes A. F. 7. Dju M. 22. Gabriel Passos 77. Matos R. 11. Moreno J.
Coaches
Pires L.	Silas

Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Portugal and 7).

Santa Clara in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Mafra is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Mafra could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Santa Clara is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Santa Clara to win the game is with odds 1.72.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Santa Clara won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Including matches at home between the teams Santa Clara won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Santa Clara
Portuguese Liga 2
22.12.23	Belenenses - Santa Clara	0:0 ✺
17.12.23	Santa Clara - Porto B	2:1 ✺
09.12.23	Tondela - Santa Clara	2:3 ✺
03.12.23	Santa Clara - Marítimo	2:1 ✺
Taça de Portugal
26.11.23	Elvas - Santa Clara	1:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 TWWWW
- CD Mafra
Portuguese Liga 2
31.12.23	Mafra - AVS	0:2 ✺
17.12.23	Oliveirense - Mafra	1:3 ✺
10.12.23	Mafra - Académico de Viseu	1:1 ✺
04.12.23	Feirense - Mafra	3:2 ✺
Taça de Portugal
26.11.23	Estoril Praia - Mafra	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LWTLL

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 2
28.02.16	Santa Clara - Mafra	1:0
30.09.15	Mafra - Santa Clara	0:0

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