Match Info

National League South - Round 34

Date: 21 February 2026, Saturday


	Totton		Hornchurch

	1	X	2
	2.98	3.45	2.15
	2.82	3.41	2.33
	3.06	3.65	2.13	Watch
	3.1	3.3	2.1
	2.98	3.63	2.18
	2.8	3.4	2.28
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.96 ↑ (2.83)	3.47 ↓ (3.73)	2.2 (2.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Totton
31.3%

Draw
26.6%

Hornchurch
42.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.8%

24.9%

42.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.7%

24.1%

43.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Totton has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Hornchurch has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Totton than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hornchurch than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Totton - Hornchurch Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
40', 1 - 0, Clarke A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 15 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ National League South (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Hornchurch may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Totton won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Outrights of English National League South for now

AFC Totton: 0.78%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
20	AFC Totton	9	3	1	5	8:15	-7	10

Last Results with these Odds

Hornchurch - the odds 2.2 are the expected chance of winning is 42.24%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AFC Totton
English National League South
17.02.26	Totton - Hampton & Richmond Borough	1:1 ✺
14.02.26	Ebbsfleet United - Totton	4:0 ✺
24.01.26	Totton - Dover Athletic	3:0 ✺
17.01.26	Tonbridge Angels - Totton	4:1 ✺
03.01.26	Totton - Enfield Town	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 TLWLW
- AFC Hornchurch
English National League South
17.02.26	Dorking Wanderers - Hornchurch	1:0 ✺
14.02.26	Hornchurch - Tonbridge Angels	3:2 ✺
07.02.26	Hampton & Richmond Borough - Hornchurch	2:2 ✺
31.01.26	Hornchurch - Torquay United	1:2 ✺
24.01.26	Weston-super-Mare - Hornchurch	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LWTLW

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
22.11.25	Hornchurch - Totton	1:1

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