Match Info

Super Lig - Round 19

Date: 23 January 2026, Friday

Location: Papara Park (Trabzon)

Referee: Yilmaz A. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Trabzonspor		Kasımpaşa

	1	X	2
	1.56	4.1	5	Watch
	1.56	4.2	5.09	Watch
	1.61	4.33	5.35
	1.55	4.42	5.45	Watch
	1.57	4	4.8
	1.63	4.25	5.46	Watch
	1.55	4	5.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↓ (1.65)	4.19 ↑ (3.97)	5.21 ↑ (4.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Trabzonspor
59.6%

Draw
22.4%

Kasımpaşa
18%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57%

23.7%

19.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.1%

23.3%

18.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Trabzonspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Kasımpaşa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Trabzonspor than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kasımpaşa than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
78.1%	3.1%	18.7%

Trabzonspor - Kasımpaşa Predictions

Users Predictions: 30 users predict this event. Trabzonspor will win (votes: 23 - 76.7%). Kasımpaşa will win (votes: 6 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 3.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Trabzonspor: 61.6% – 91.8%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Trabzonspor (1.96) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 50%) .

O/U 0.5, 2nd Half - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Trabzonspor will win (7 of 9 users predict this - 77.78%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 12 Selected Experts predict this event. Trabzonspor (votes: 9 - 75%). Kasımpaşa (votes: 3 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
24. Onana A. (G) 20. Pina W. 27. Nwaiwu C. 44. Batagov A. 14. Lovik M. 42. Inao Oulai C. 26. Jabol-Folcarelli T. 22. Zubkov O. (C) 10. Muci E. 70. Olaigbe K. 99. Felipe Augusto	1. Gianniotis A. (G) 2. Winck C. (C) 50. Rodrigo Becao 20. Opoku N. 21. Frimpong G. 12. Ben Ouanes M. 26. Demirbay K. 7. Fall M. 71. Kahveci I. C. 34. Diabate F. 17. Kanatsizkus K.
Substitutes
8. Bouchouari B. 61. Canak C. 25. Cevikkan O. (G) 92. Ince T. E. 74. Malkocoglu S. 9. Nwakaeme A. 30. Onuachu P. 11. Tufan O. 88. Yildirim A. (G) 5. Yokuslu O.	4. Arous A. 29. Aydin T. 9. Barasi Y. 8. Cafu 22. Corekci K. 77. Gueye P. 33. Tasdemir E. 23. Tosun C. 6. Ustundag C. 25. Yanar A. (G)
Coaches
Tekke F.	Belozoglu E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Olaigbe K. ↓, Onuachu P. ↑,
49', Onuachu P. 🟨,
51', 1 - 0, Onuachu P. ⚽, Inao Oulai C. (A),
55', Kanatsizkus K. ↓, Gueye P. ↑,
61', 1 - 1, Diabate F. ⚽, Kahveci I. C. (A),
67', Fall M. ↓, Ustundag C. ↑,
78', Felipe Augusto ↓, Nwakaeme A. ↑,
80', Rodrigo Becao ↓, Arous A. ↑,
80', Kahveci I. C. ↓, Cafu ↑,
84', 2 - 1, Zubkov O. ⚽, Nwakaeme A. (A),
89', Zubkov O. ↓, Yokuslu O. ↑,
89', Inao Oulai C. 🟨,
90', Demirbay K. 🟨,
90', Demirbay K. 🟨,
90+3', Muci E. ↓, Tufan O. ↑,

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: ) and 14).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Trabzonspor won 2.

Trabzonspor has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Kasımpaşa is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Kasımpaşa may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Trabzonspor has had a series of away games.

In this match, Trabzonspor is the team to beat.

There will not play in Trabzonspor: Baniya R. (Shin Injury) Baskan B. (Suspended) Eskihellac M. (Yellow Cards) Savic S. (Injury) Visca E. (Foot Injury)

There will not play in Kasımpaşa: Baldursson A. F. (Yellow Cards) Cafu (Injury) Hajradinovic H. (Knee Injury) Kol A. (Yellow Cards)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Trabzonspor won 10 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 40:26. (average 2:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Trabzonspor won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 23:18. (average 2.3:1.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Trabzonspor	7	4	1	2	16:5	11	13
8	Kasimpasa	7	2	4	1	8:8	0	10

Last Results with these Odds

Trabzonspor - the odds 1.65 are the expected chance of winning is 57.02%, but this team recently wins 78% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Trabzonspor
Turkish Super League
18.01.26	Kocaelispor - Trabzonspor	1:2 ✺
Turkish Cup
14.01.26	İstanbulspor - Trabzonspor	1:6 ✺
Turkish Super Cup
05.01.26	Galatasaray - Trabzonspor	4:1 ✺
Turkish Super League
22.12.25	Gençlerbirliği - Trabzonspor	4:3 ✺
Turkish Cup
17.12.25	Trabzonspor - Alanyaspor	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WWLLL
- Kasımpaşa
Turkish Super League
18.01.26	Kasımpaşa - Antalyaspor	0:0 ✺
21.12.25	Galatasaray - Kasımpaşa	3:0 ✺
12.12.25	Kasımpaşa - Gençlerbirliği	0:0 ✺
07.12.25	Kocaelispor - Kasımpaşa	0:0 ✺
29.11.25	Kasımpaşa - İstanbul Başakşehir	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 TLTTL

Latest Head to Head

Turkish Super League
18.08.25	Kasımpaşa - Trabzonspor	0:1
05.05.25	Kasımpaşa - Trabzonspor	1:1
06.12.24	Trabzonspor - Kasımpaşa	2:2
29.01.24	Trabzonspor - Kasımpaşa	2:3
01.09.23	Kasımpaşa - Trabzonspor	1:5
08.04.23	Kasımpaşa - Trabzonspor	2:0
Club Friendly
10.12.22	Trabzonspor - Kasımpaşa	1:1

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