Match Info
Campionato Sammarinese - Round 28Date: 11 April 2026, Saturday
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Tre Penne |
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Cailungo |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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1.04 |
9.8 |
28 |
Watch |
 |
1.02 |
14.96 |
26.28 |
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1.07 |
10.5 |
18.89 |
Watch |
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1.07 |
10 |
29 |
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Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.05 ↓ (1.15) |
11.32 ↑ (6.17) |
25.54 ↑ (17.32) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
- The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Tre Penne 88.2% | Draw 8.2% | Cailungo 3.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tre Penne has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tre Penne's performance.Cailungo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)Tre Penne - Cailungo Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:3 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (3 - 0)
- 23', 1 - 0, Turchetta G. ⚽,
- 32', 2 - 0, Berardi F. (Penalty Awarded),
- 38', 3 - 0, Errico S. ⚽, Loiodice S. (A),
- 2nd Half (3 - 1)
- 59', 4 - 0, Pieri R. ⚽,
- 79', 5 - 0, Kamouni M. J. ⚽, Peluso L. (A),
- 81', 5 - 1, Bua A. ⚽, Colagiovanni M. (A),
- 89', 6 - 1, Peluso L. ⚽,
Preview
A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 15).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tre Penne won 4.Tre Penne is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).Cailungo is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).Tre Penne may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. In this match, Tre Penne is the undisputed favorite.In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Tre Penne won 14 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 52:11. (average 3.5:0.7).Including home matches between the teams, Tre Penne won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 30:7. (average 3.8:0.9).
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 2 | Tre Penne | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 9:2 | 7 | 12 |
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| 11 | Cailungo | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4:5 | -1 | 3 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;