Match Info

Cymru South - Round 9

Date: 4 October 2025, Saturday


	Trefelin		Afan Lido

	1	X	2
	1.21	5.9	8.6
	1.18	6.88	10.08
	1.31	6.05	6.82	Watch
	1.21	5.85	10
	1.21	5.8	8.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.22 ↓ (1.32)	6.1 ↑ (5)	8.78 ↑ (6.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Trefelin
74.6%

Draw
15%

Afan Lido
10.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.2%

18%

13.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.4%

17.2%

13.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Trefelin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Trefelin's performance.

Afan Lido has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Trefelin than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Afan Lido than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

Trefelin - Afan Lido Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
71', 🟥,

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Cymru Premier and 13).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Trefelin won 1.

Trefelin is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Afan Lido is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Trefelin is the clear favorite.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Trefelin won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:15. (average 1.4:1.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Trefelin won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:6. (average 1.3:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Trefelin BGC
Welsh Cymru South
27.09.25	Ynyshir Albions - Trefelin	0:5 ✺
12.09.25	Trefelin - Ammanford	2:0 ✺
06.09.25	Baglan Dragons - Trefelin	1:1 ✺
25.08.25	Trefelin - Llantwit Major	3:3 ✺
22.08.25	Trefelin - Cwmbran Celtic	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WWTTW
- Afan Lido
Welsh Cymru South
27.09.25	Afan Lido - Aberystwyth Town	0:1 ✺
16.09.25	Afan Lido - Cardiff Draconians	1:3 ✺
12.09.25	Cambrian United - Afan Lido	4:0 ✺
06.09.25	Ynyshir Albions - Afan Lido	1:2 ✺
22.08.25	Trethomas Bluebirds - Afan Lido	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Welsh Cymru South
30.12.24	Trefelin - Afan Lido	1:1
25.10.24	Afan Lido - Trefelin	0:0
30.12.23	Afan Lido - Trefelin	5:2
26.12.23	Trefelin - Afan Lido	2:1
02.01.23	Trefelin - Afan Lido	2:2
27.12.22	Afan Lido - Trefelin	3:1
10.12.21	Afan Lido - Trefelin	1:3

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