Match Info

Cymru South - Round 26

Date: 30 March 2026, Monday


	Cwmbran Celtic		Trefelin

	1	X	2
	16.5	8.3	1.08
	17.24	11.28	1.08
	17.59	10.08	1.09	Watch
	17	9.5	1.08
	19.5	9.8	1.04
Avarage Now (Initially)	17.57 ↓ (30.9)	9.79 ↓ (14.17)	1.07 ↑ (1.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cwmbran Celtic
5.2%

Draw
9.4%

Trefelin
85.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

6.6%

90.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cwmbran Celtic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Trefelin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

Cwmbran Celtic - Trefelin Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:3

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
10', 0 - 1, Brock T. ⚽,
15', 0 - 2, Brock T. (Penalty Awarded),
28', 1 - 2, McDowell A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 6)
50', Powell I. 🟨,
51', 1 - 3, Brock T. ⚽,
58', 1 - 4, Brock T. ⚽,
59', 1 - 5, Brock T. ⚽,
83', 1 - 6, Jones J. ⚽,
90', 1 - 7, Jones J. ⚽,
90+3', 1 - 8, Saunders C. ⚽,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Cymru Premier).

Trefelin is Qualified for Cymru Premier

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cwmbran Celtic won 2.

Cwmbran Celtic has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Trefelin is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Cwmbran Celtic may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Trefelin has had a series of home games.

In this match, Trefelin is the clear favorite.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Cwmbran Celtic won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 15:18. (average 1.7:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Cwmbran Celtic won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 8:6. (average 2:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cwmbran Celtic
Welsh Cymru South
24.03.26	Baglan Dragons - Cwmbran Celtic	0:0 ✺
21.03.26	Caerau Ely - Cwmbran Celtic	0:0 ✺
17.03.26	Cwmbran Celtic - Pontypridd United	2:5 ✺
10.03.26	Cwmbran Celtic - Llantwit Major	1:3 ✺
06.03.26	Cwmbran Celtic - Ynyshir Albions	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 26.3 TTLLL
- Trefelin BGC
Welsh Cymru South
21.03.26	Cardiff Draconians - Trefelin	0:4 ✺
17.03.26	Trefelin - Cambrian United	0:4 ✺
07.03.26	Trefelin - Aberystwyth Town	4:0 ✺
04.03.26	Trefelin - Cardiff Draconians	3:1 ✺
28.02.26	Llantwit Major - Trefelin	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Welsh Cymru South
22.08.25	Trefelin - Cwmbran Celtic	4:0
17.01.25	Trefelin - Cwmbran Celtic	1:0
10.08.24	Cwmbran Celtic - Trefelin	1:3
17.04.24	Cwmbran Celtic - Trefelin	4:1
23.09.23	Trefelin - Cwmbran Celtic	1:2
15.04.23	Cwmbran Celtic - Trefelin	1:1
01.10.22	Trefelin - Cwmbran Celtic	3:1

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