Match Info

Cymru South - Round 21

Date: 17 March 2026, Tuesday


	Treowen Stars		Baglan Dragons

	1	X	2
	2.08	3.4	3
	2.07	3.57	2.97
	2.1	3.68	3.1	Watch
	2.05	3.25	3
	2.02	3.5	3.12
	2.15	3.3	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.08 ↓ (2.29)	3.45 ↓ (3.47)	3.03 ↑ (2.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Treowen Stars
43.7%

Draw
26.3%

Baglan Dragons
30%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39%

25.7%

35.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Treowen Stars has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

Baglan Dragons has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Baglan Dragons might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Treowen Stars - Baglan Dragons Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
16', 1 - 0, Hartland C. ⚽,
44', 1 - 1, Dubjaga A. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
47', 2 - 1, Hartland C. ⚽,
65', 3 - 1, Meacham G. ⚽,
83', 🟥,
86', 4 - 1, Roberts S. ⚽,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 9 and 10).

Baglan Dragons may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Treowen won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:3.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Baglan Dragons	10	5	1	4	11:11	0	16
8	Treowen	9	4	1	4	18:18	0	13

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Treowen Stars
Welsh Cymru South
14.03.26	Treowen Stars - Pontypridd United	2:2 ✺
10.03.26	Caerau Ely - Treowen Stars	3:0 ✺
07.03.26	Treowen Stars - Cambrian United	2:2 ✺
03.03.26	Llantwit Major - Treowen Stars	3:2 ✺
28.02.26	Ynyshir Albions - Treowen Stars	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 TLTLT
- Baglan Dragons
Welsh Cymru South
14.03.26	Baglan Dragons - Caerau Ely	0:5 ✺
06.03.26	Newport City - Baglan Dragons	1:2 ✺
21.02.26	Pontypridd United - Baglan Dragons	2:0 ✺
17.02.26	Trefelin - Baglan Dragons	3:0 ✺
14.02.26	Cardiff Draconians - Baglan Dragons	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Welsh Cymru South
24.10.25	Baglan Dragons - Treowen Stars	3:4

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