Match Info

Cymru South - Round 11

Date: 25 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Park Avenue (Aberystwyth)


	Aberystwyth Town		Newport City

	1	X	2
	3.2	3.5	1.95
	3.34	3.69	2.01	Watch
	3.26	3.46	1.99
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.27 ↓ (3.34)	3.55 ↓ (3.69)	1.98 ↓ (2.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aberystwyth Town
28%

Draw
25.8%

Newport City
46.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28%

25.4%

46.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28%

25.4%

46.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Aberystwyth Town have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Newport City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

The ML Model estimate for Aberystwyth Town aligns with the current prediction.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Newport City than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Aberystwyth Town - Newport City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
19', 0 - 1, Farrah C. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 7 and 8).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Aberystwyth may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Newport City is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aberystwyth Town
Welsh FA Cup
18.10.25	Aberystwyth Town - Barry Town United	0:5 ✺
Welsh Cymru South
11.10.25	Treowen Stars - Aberystwyth Town	2:3 ✺
27.09.25	Afan Lido - Aberystwyth Town	0:1 ✺
13.09.25	Aberystwyth Town - Cwmbran Celtic	2:0 ✺
06.09.25	Cardiff Draconians - Aberystwyth Town	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LWWWL
- Newport City FC
Welsh Cymru South
21.10.25	Caerau Ely - Newport City	4:3 ✺
10.10.25	Newport City - Trethomas Bluebirds	1:1 ✺
27.09.25	Carmarthen Town - Newport City	1:0 ✺
12.09.25	Pontypridd United - Newport City	1:3 ✺
05.09.25	Newport City - Cambrian United	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LTLWW

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