Match Info

Cymru South - Round 12

Date: 1 November 2025, Saturday


	Trethomas Bluebirds		Aberystwyth Town

	1	X	2
	2.52	3.25	2.45
	2.57	3.48	2.52	Watch
	2.54	3.28	2.41
	2.54	3.25	2.54
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.54 ↓ (2.57)	3.32 ↓ (3.48)	2.48 ↓ (2.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Trethomas Bluebirds
35.8%

Draw
27.5%

Aberystwyth Town
36.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.3%

26.8%

37%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.1%

26.7%

37.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Trethomas Bluebirds has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Aberystwyth Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Trethomas Bluebirds than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aberystwyth Town than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Trethomas Bluebirds - Aberystwyth Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
3', 0 - 1, Downs D. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
56', 0 - 2, Davies B. ⚽,
59', 1 - 2, Thomas J. ⚽,
66', 2 - 2, Williams J. ⚽,
77', 2 - 3, Jones E. (Own goal),

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 10 and 8).

Trethomas Bluebirds has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Aberystwyth has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Recently, Trethomas Bluebirds has had a series of away games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Trethomas Bluebirds
Welsh Cymru South
25.10.25	Cardiff Draconians - Trethomas Bluebirds	3:0 ✺
Welsh FA Cup
18.10.25	Carmarthen Town - Trethomas Bluebirds	5:1 ✺
Welsh Cymru South
10.10.25	Newport City - Trethomas Bluebirds	1:1 ✺
03.10.25	Trethomas Bluebirds - Ammanford	1:1 ✺
26.09.25	Cwmbran Celtic - Trethomas Bluebirds	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LLTTT
- Aberystwyth Town
Welsh Cymru South
25.10.25	Aberystwyth Town - Newport City	0:1 ✺
Welsh FA Cup
18.10.25	Aberystwyth Town - Barry Town United	0:5 ✺
Welsh Cymru South
11.10.25	Treowen Stars - Aberystwyth Town	2:3 ✺
27.09.25	Afan Lido - Aberystwyth Town	0:1 ✺
13.09.25	Aberystwyth Town - Cwmbran Celtic	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LLWWW

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