Match Info

Serie C - Group A - Round 9

Date: 11 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stadio Omobono Tenni (Treviso) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Angelillo L. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Italy	17:30	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia


	Treviso		Ospitaletto

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.35	2.90	2.85
	2.12	2.88	3.20	Watch
	2.52	2.90	3.19
	2.26	3.04	3.16	Watch
	2.45	2.75	3.15
	2.40	3.13	3.00	Watch
	2.32	2.95	3.00
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.35 ↑ (2.28)	2.94 ↑ (2.88)	3.08 ↓ (3.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Treviso
39%

Draw
31.2%

Ospitaletto
29.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

39.7%

31.5%

28.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.6%

30.8%

28.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Treviso has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Ospitaletto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Treviso than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ospitaletto than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Treviso - Ospitaletto Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Nobile T. (G) 8. Cappelletti D. 13. Maestrelli A. 5. Bove D. 2. Brigati A. 7. Brevi T. 4. Rossi G. 25. Romeo F. 10. Ciuferri F. 27. Gucher R. (C) 9. Tommasini C.	22. Ferrante M. (G) 16. Gualandris M. 15. Parmiggiani P. 4. Nessi R. 20. Casali M. 26. Mondini G. 28. Panatti M. (C) 8. Tigani E. 14. Galuppini F. 9. Gobbi F. 7. Messaggi C.
Substitutes
1. Bisetto R. (G) 21. Ceccacci M. 44. Guiyong F. 22. Leonardelli P. (G) 76. Lombardi A. 20. Luderin D. 31. Mbengue C. 11. Mellino C. 78. Ndulue D. 17. Paganini L.	10. Cantamessa S. 1. Fratti C. (G) 43. Guarneri M. 55. Mundi R. (G) 18. Paganotti M. 17. Plutnik A. 3. Possenti M. 11. Ragnoli Galli F. 77. Stefanoni D. 21. Torri A. 45. Valente M. 24. Valota G.
Coaches
Gorini E.	Quaresmini A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
11', Tigani E. 🟨,
14', Mondini G. 🟨,
21', 0 - 1, Galuppini F. (Penalty Awarded),
32', Panatti M. ↓, Guarneri M. ↑,
39', Cappelletti D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
61', Brevi T. 🟨,
67', Romeo F. ↓, Paganini L. ↑,
69', Maestrelli A. 🟨,
69', Nessi R. 🟨,
72', Messaggi C. ↓, Stefanoni D. ↑,
72', Tigani E. ↓, Cantamessa S. ↑,
73', Galuppini F. 🟨,
80', Gucher R. ↓, Ndulue D. ↑,
82', Gobbi F. ↓, Torri A. ↑,
82', Galuppini F. ↓, Valente M. ↑,
85', Brigati A. ↓, Ceccacci M. ↑,
85', Ciuferri F. ↓, Mellino C. ↑,
90+2', Nobile T. 🟨,

Preview

One of the standout fixtures of the round, featuring two top-tier sides (ranked 6th in the Promotion - Serie C - Promotion - Play Offs (1/32 - finals) and 4th in the Promotion - Serie C - Promotion - Play Offs (1/16 - finals)).

Treviso is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Performances by Ospitaletto have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Ospitaletto could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Treviso holding a narrow advantage.

No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Treviso	11	5	4	2	12:8	4	19
6	Ospitaletto	11	5	3	3	18:11	7	18

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Treviso
Italian Serie C Group A
04.10.26	Treviso - Giana Erminio	0:0 ✺
27.09.26	Renate - Treviso	0:1 ✺
21.09.26	Treviso - Desenzano Calvina	0:0 ✺
17.09.26	Brescia - Treviso	2:2 ✺
13.09.26	Treviso - Pro Vercelli	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 TWTTW
- CPR Ospitaletto
Italian Serie C Group A
03.10.26	Ospitaletto - Renate	1:1 ✺
26.09.26	Novara - Ospitaletto	0:2 ✺
20.09.26	Ospitaletto - Cittadella	0:1 ✺
17.09.26	Carpi - Ospitaletto	2:2 ✺
13.09.26	Ospitaletto - Juventus U23	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 TWLTW

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