Match Info

Date: 10 April 2021, Saturday


	Treze		Sport Recife

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.95	3.3	3.4	Watch
	1.95	3.5	3.15
	1.98	3.35	3.3
	2.04	3.55	3.38
	1.85	3.3	3.5
	2.11	3.18	3.34	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.98 ↓ (2.17)	3.36 ↑ (3.24)	3.35 ↑ (2.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Treze
45.9%

Draw
27%

Sport Recife
27.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.6%

27.8%

30.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.5%

19.7%

43.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Treze has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

Sport Recife has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Treze than the current prediction. (-16.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Treze that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sport Recife than the current prediction. (+16%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sport Recife could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Treze - Sport Recife Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

A game will be played between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 5 and 7).

Treze is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Sport Recife is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Sport Recife could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Treze will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Treze FC
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
04.04.21	Vitória Salvador - Treze	3:1 ✺
01.04.21	Treze - Botafogo PB	1:0 ✺
24.03.21	Salgueiro - Treze	1:0 ✺
21.03.21	Treze - ABC	0:2 ✺
Copa do Brasil
18.03.21	Treze - América Mineiro	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LWLLL
- Sport Recife
Brazilian Campeonato Pernambucano
07.04.21	Afogados da Ingazeira - Sport Recife	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
03.04.21	Sport Recife - Ceará	0:4 ✺
31.03.21	Santa Cruz Recife - Sport Recife	1:2 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Pernambucano
28.03.21	Sport Recife - Central SC	2:0 ✺
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
23.03.21	Sport Recife - Confiança	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 TLWWL

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