Match Info

Primera Nacional - Round 11

Date: 19 April 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio 20 de Octubre (Tristan Suarez)

Referee: Acita F. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	TyC Sports Play


	Tristán Suárez		Alvarado

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.1	4.5
	1.88	3	4.2
	1.9	3.1	4.4	Watch
	1.89	3.17	4.79
	1.89	3.09	4.72	Watch
	1.85	3	4.5
	1.86	3.04	4.63
	1.9	3.1	4.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.88 ↑ (1.75)	3.08 ↓ (3.45)	4.52 ↓ (4.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Tristán Suárez
49.3%

Draw
30.2%

Alvarado
20.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.3%

27%

19.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.4%

26.5%

19.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tristán Suárez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

Alvarado has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tristán Suárez than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tristán Suárez, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alvarado than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	20%	20%

Tristán Suárez - Alvarado Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Tristán Suárez will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Alvarado will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tristán Suárez (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Sumavil N. (G) 4. Guillen M. 2. Ostachuk P. 6. Taron M. 3. Nouet F. 5. Perez T. 8. Berges F. 7. Fernandez M. 10. Sosa A. 11. Villegas L. 9. Magnotta S.	1. Henricot F. (G) 4. Werro V. 2. Blasi B. 6. Monzon L. 3. Ascacibar J. 5. Bolivar A. 8. Gobetto J. 7. Bergara M. 10. Borgnino M. 11. Becker D. (C) 9. Ortiz D.
Substitutes
19. Almiron E. 16. Boasso F. 13. Guzman M. 12. Mendive J. (G) 14. Pantaleone N. 17. Ruiz P. 20. Sayago D. 15. Steimbach A. 18. Veliez A.	15. Aleo A. 19. Bolzicco T. 12. Gomez Riga E. F. (G) 16. Mansilla M. 18. Martinez E. 14. Ortale M. 13. Silva K. 20. Susvielles J. 17. Vega F.
Coaches
Martinez J.	Quattrocchi P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
3', 1 - 0, Ostachuk P. (Pen),
15', Nouet F. 🟨,
18', Monzon L. 🟨,
23', 2 - 0, Sosa A. ⚽, Fernandez M. (A),
31', Gobetto J. ↓, Mansilla M. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Borgnino M. ↓, Susvielles J. ↑,
60', Sosa A. 🟨,
60', Ascacibar J. 🟨,
61', Magnotta S. ↓, Steimbach A. ↑,
62', Ortiz D. ↓, Martinez E. ↑,
62', Becker D. ↓, Bolzicco T. ↑,
66', 2 - 1, Bolzicco T. (Pen),
72', Taron M. ↓, Boasso F. ↑,
72', Villegas L. ↓, Pantaleone N. ↑,
75', Susvielles J. 🟨,
85', Werro V. ↓, Ortale M. ↑,
85', Ascacibar J. ↓, Aleo A. ↑,
87', Fernandez M. ↓, Ruiz P. ↑,
87', Berges F. ↓, Guzman M. ↑,
90+2', Bergara M. 🟨,

Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 15).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

In this match Tristán Suárez is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Tristán Suárez won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7:6 (average 2.3:2).

Including matches at home between the teams Tristán Suárez won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5:5 (average 2.5:2.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Tristán Suárez
Argentinian Primera Nacional
13.04.25	Deportivo Madryn - Tristán Suárez	0:0 ✺
05.04.25	Tristán Suárez - Deportivo Maipú	1:1 ✺
30.03.25	Gimnasia y Tiro - Tristán Suárez	1:1 ✺
23.03.25	Los Andes - Tristán Suárez	2:0 ✺
15.03.25	Tristán Suárez - San Martín de Tucumán	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 TTTLT
- CA Alvarado
Argentinian Primera Nacional
12.04.25	Alvarado - San Martín de Tucumán	0:2 ✺
05.04.25	Güemes - Alvarado	1:1 ✺
30.03.25	Alvarado - Patronato Parana	3:1 ✺
23.03.25	Ferro Carril Oeste - Alvarado	0:0 ✺
16.03.25	Alvarado - Club Almagro	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 LTWTT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
20.07.24	Alvarado - Tristán Suárez	1:2
02.03.24	Tristán Suárez - Alvarado	2:2
04.03.22	Tristán Suárez - Alvarado	3:3

Upcoming Matches