Match Info

Liga 3 - Promotion Group - Round 13

Date: 9 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Estádio do Clube Desportivo Trofense (Trofa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Canal 11


	Trofense		Vitoria Guimarães B

	1	X	2
	2.6	3.2	2.35
	2.68	3.25	2.35
	2.69	3.3	2.42
	2.71	3.49	2.41	Watch
	2.63	3	2.45
	2.62	3.14	2.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.66 ↓ (2.88)	3.23 ↑ (2.75)	2.4 ↓ (2.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Trofense
34.2%

Draw
28.1%

Vitoria Guimarães B
37.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.2%

33.8%

34%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.2%

34.8%

33%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Trofense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Vitoria Guimarães B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Trofense than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vitoria Guimarães B than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

Trofense - Vitoria Guimarães B Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
96. Rendeiro R. (G) 30. Welisson 23. Ribeiro Gomes D. M. 4. Basto H. 2. Oliveira J. 6. Daniel J. 78. Ruca 8. Reko Silva 89. Nuninho (C) 19. Diarra M. 11. Paciencia V.	99. Guilherme (G) 96. Rodrigo Silva (C) 75. Oliveira A. 93. Rika 72. Rodrigues T. 55. Rebelo D. 56. Verdi S. 79. Carvalho D. 73. Miguel Vaz 33. Opara E. 32. Tepe M.
Substitutes
15. Borges F. 18. Diagne O. 10. Feliz 9. Hachadi K. 17. Monteiro D. 77. Roka 44. Saldanha F. 13. Silva N. (G) 20. Vieira A.	67. Bruma 97. Carreira D. . Carrera R. 60. Deivid M. 82. Dias F. 81. Fernandes J. (G) . Joao Silva 70. Peixoto R. 95. Vunge J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
22', Oliveira A. ↓, Vunge J. ↑,
25', 0 - 1, Opara E. ⚽, Tepe M. (A),
31', Diarra M. (Penalty Awarded),
45+5', 1 - 1, Diarra M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
57', Oliveira J. ↓, Feliz ↑,
66', Welisson ↓, Saldanha F. ↑,
66', Diarra M. ↓, Hachadi K. ↑,
70', Opara E. ↓, Deivid M. ↑,
70', Rebelo D. ↓, Dias F. ↑,
79', Nuninho ↓, Monteiro D. ↑,
80', Paciencia V. ↓, Vieira A. ↑,
86', Miguel Vaz ↓, Carreira D. ↑,
90+1', Ribeiro Gomes D. M. 🟨,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 8 and 5).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Trofense won 2.

Trofense has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Guimarães B has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Trofense may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Trofense won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:10. (average 0.8:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Trofense won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:6. (average 0.3:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Trofense
Portuguese Liga 3
01.05.26	Trofense - Amarante	0:0 ✺
25.04.26	Mafra - Trofense	1:0 ✺
18.04.26	Trofense - Varzim	0:1 ✺
11.04.26	União de Santarém - Trofense	0:1 ✺
03.04.26	Trofense - Belenenses	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 TLLWL
- Vitoria Guimarães B
Portuguese Liga 3
03.05.26	Vitoria Guimarães B - Mafra	0:2 ✺
25.04.26	Varzim - Vitoria Guimarães B	2:2 ✺
19.04.26	Vitoria Guimarães B - União de Santarém	1:1 ✺
11.04.26	Belenenses - Vitoria Guimarães B	0:0 ✺
04.04.26	Vitoria Guimarães B - Académica Coimbra	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 LTTTW

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 3
15.03.26	Vitoria Guimarães B - Trofense	1:2
04.01.26	Trofense - Vitoria Guimarães B	0:1
28.09.25	Vitoria Guimarães B - Trofense	1:2
Portuguese Liga 2
19.04.15	Vitoria Guimarães B - Trofense	2:0
15.11.14	Trofense - Vitoria Guimarães B	1:5
16.09.12	Trofense - Vitoria Guimarães B	0:0

Trofense - Vitoria Guimarães B: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide