Match Info

Liga 3 - Promotion Group - Round 10

Date: 19 April 2026, Sunday

Location: Academia Vitoria SC (Guimarães)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Canal 11


	Vitoria Guimarães B		União de Santarém

	1	X	2
	1.58	3.65	4.85
	1.56	4.16	5.7
	1.68	3.99	4.5	Watch
	1.6	3.5	5
	1.65	3.9	4.88
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↓ (1.86)	3.84 ↑ (3.28)	4.99 ↑ (4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Vitoria Guimarães B
57.3%

Draw
24.1%

União de Santarém
18.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.2%

27.9%

22.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.8%

27%

22.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vitoria Guimarães B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Vitoria Guimarães B's performance.

União de Santarém has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vitoria Guimarães B than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Vitoria Guimarães B that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for União de Santarém than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

Vitoria Guimarães B - União de Santarém Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
99. Guilherme (G) 76. Alcobia 22. Blanco F. 46. Nunes H. (C) 75. Oliveira A. 33. Opara E. 80. Rocha R. 96. Rodrigo Silva 72. Rodrigues T. 56. Verdi S. 50. Zeega	22. Hidalgo N. (C) 17. Aguas G. 84. Ayiah E. 13. Bura 11. Goncalves E. F. 3. Joao Ricardo 24. Medalli N. 58. Monteiro D. 4. Pereira P. 20. Ventura B. 28. Vinhas D.
Substitutes
97. Carreira D. 79. Carvalho D. 60. Deivid M. 81. Fernandes J. (G) 73. Miguel Vaz 70. Peixoto R. 55. Rebelo D. 93. Rika 32. Tepe M.	90. Koume S. 10. Madeira T. 79. Marcante E. 15. Midoes R. 78. Pedro Teixeira (G) 5. Rodeia M. 33. Rodrigues M. 14. Simoes J. 7. Teixeira G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
33', 0 - 1, Joao Ricardo ⚽, Goncalves E. F. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
51', Rodrigo Silva 🟨,
61', Medalli N. ↓, Teixeira G. ↑,
61', Ayiah E. ↓, Koume S. ↑,
64', Verdi S. ↓, Carvalho D. ↑,
70', Opara E. ↓, Miguel Vaz ↑,
71', Blanco F. ↓, Tepe M. ↑,
76', Rodrigo Silva ↓, Carreira D. ↑,
77', Nunes H. ↓, Peixoto R. ↑,
78', Koume S. 🟨,
84', Goncalves E. F. ↓, Madeira T. ↑,
90+2', Madeira T. 🟨,
90+2', Aguas G. ↓, Rodeia M. ↑,
90+3', Ventura B. ↓, Marcante E. ↑,
90+8', 1 - 1, Oliveira A. ⚽, Carvalho D. (A),

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 4 and 8).

In recent matches, Guimarães B has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Santarém is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Guimarães B is considered a favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Guimarães B won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vitoria Guimarães B
Portuguese Liga 3
11.04.26	Belenenses - Vitoria Guimarães B	0:0 ✺
04.04.26	Vitoria Guimarães B - Académica Coimbra	1:0 ✺
22.03.26	Amarante - Vitoria Guimarães B	2:1 ✺
15.03.26	Vitoria Guimarães B - Trofense	1:2 ✺
08.03.26	Mafra - Vitoria Guimarães B	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.2 TWLLW
- União de Santarém
Portuguese Liga 3
11.04.26	União de Santarém - Trofense	0:1 ✺
03.04.26	Mafra - União de Santarém	2:1 ✺
21.03.26	Varzim - União de Santarém	1:0 ✺
14.03.26	União de Santarém - Amarante	1:2 ✺
08.03.26	União de Santarém - Belenenses	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 3
21.02.26	União de Santarém - Vitoria Guimarães B	0:1

Upcoming Matches