Match Info

Ligue 2 - Round 9

Date: 3 October 2025, Friday

Location: Stade Marie-Marvingt (Le Mans)

Referee: Frappart S. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, beIN Sports MENA 8, TOD
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 8, Free


	Le Mans		Troyes

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.25	2.25	Watch
	3	3.3	2.25
	3.1	3.2	2.22
	3.27	3.36	2.29
	3.68	2.10	3.11	Watch
	3.17	3.24	2.26	Watch
	3.15	3.25	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.21 ↑ (3.04)	3.1 ↓ (3.35)	2.38 ↑ (2.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Le Mans
29.5%

Draw
30.6%

Troyes
39.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.1%

28.2%

40.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.4%

27.5%

41.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Le Mans has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Troyes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Le Mans than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Troyes than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	13.3%	86.7%

Le Mans - Troyes Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Troyes will win (votes: 13 - 86.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 13.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Troyes: 69.5% – 100%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Troyes (1.34) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Troyes will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Troyes (votes: 7 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
98. Kocik N. (G) 18. Buades L. 21. Eyoum T. 17. Yohou S. 5. Voyer H. 22. Calodat L. 10. Vercruysse J. 6. Quarshie E. (C) 24. Robin M. 9. Rabillard A. 25. Gueye D.	16. Lemaitre N. (G) 44. Titi Y. 6. Monfray A. (C) 25. Gozzi P. 14. Boura I. 8. Diop M. 10. Ifnaoui M. 17. Mille A. 5. Adeline M. 15. Assoumou J. 21. Bentayeb T.
Substitutes
3. Cossier I. 7. Gomes M. 19. Guillaume B. 20. Harhouz W. 1. Hatfout E. (G) 8. Lauray A. 26. Oggad B.	11. Detourbet M. 9. El Idrissy M. 23. Gambor H. 40. Konate H. (G) 35. Murcy R. 12. Odede E. 3. Ouzenadji A.
Coaches
Videira P.	Dumont S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
27', Adeline M. 🟨,
37', Yohou S. 🟨,
42', Gozzi P. 🟨,
44', Lemaitre N. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
60', Rabillard A. ↓, Harhouz W. ↑,
60', Quarshie E. ↓, Lauray A. ↑,
62', 1 - 0, Harhouz W. ⚽,
69', Adeline M. ↓, Detourbet M. ↑,
73', 1 - 1, Bentayeb T. ⚽,
75', 1 - 2, Bentayeb T. ⚽, Assoumou J. (A),
77', Bentayeb T. ↓, El Idrissy M. ↑,
79', Buades L. ↓, Oggad B. ↑,
79', Robin M. ↓, Guillaume B. ↑,
87', Assoumou J. ↓, Ouzenadji A. ↑,
87', Ifnaoui M. ↓, Gambor H. ↑,
90+2', 2 - 2, Calodat L. ⚽, Gueye D. (A),

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 13 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1).

Le Mans has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Troyes is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Troyes might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in Le Mans: Cisse A. (Inactive) Delbecque A. (Inactive) Luvambo T. (Inactive) Oggad B. (Inactive) Ribelin A. (Inactive)

There will not play in Troyes: Maronnier L. (Inactive) Phliponeau A. (Muscle Injury) Ripart R. (Knee Injury) Traore I. (Inactive)

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Le Mans won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:2. (average 0.3:0.7).

Including home match between the teams, Le Mans won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Le Mans FC
French Ligue 2
26.09.25	Clermont - Le Mans	1:1 ✺
23.09.25	Le Mans - Grenoble	1:0 ✺
19.09.25	Dunkerque - Le Mans	2:2 ✺
12.09.25	Le Mans - Rodez	0:1 ✺
30.08.25	Reims - Le Mans	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 TWTLL
- Troyes AC
French Ligue 2
26.09.25	Troyes - Annecy	3:1 ✺
23.09.25	Red Star - Troyes	1:3 ✺
20.09.25	Troyes - Guingamp	5:2 ✺
12.09.25	Troyes - Nancy	3:0 ✺
29.08.25	Dunkerque - Troyes	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
18.10.19	Troyes - Le Mans	2:1
24.02.12	Troyes - Le Mans	N/A

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