Match Info

Ligue 1 - Round 8

Date: 25 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stade de l'Abbé-Deschamps (Auxerre) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Delajod W. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Argentina	13:15	Disney+
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 3, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 3, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 3, TOD
Austria	17:15	DAZN
Canada	12:15	beIN Connect, beIN Sports
Chile	13:15	Disney+
China	00:15	Migu
Colombia	11:15	Disney+
Croatia	17:15	Arena Sport 9, MAXtv To Go
Denmark	17:15	Viaplay
Finland	18:15	Viaplay
France	17:15	DAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV
Germany	17:15	DAZN Deutsch
Hong Kong	00:15	beIN SPORTS MAX
Indonesia	23:15	Vidio
Italy	17:15	Ligue 1+
Japan	01:15	DAZN Japan
Mexico	10:15	FOX One
Netherlands	17:15	Viaplay
North Central America	—	Disney+ Caribbean
Norway	17:15	Viaplay
Peru	11:15	Disney+
Romania	18:15	Voyo
South Korea	01:15	Coupang Play
Spain	17:15	DAZN Espana
Sweden	17:15	Viaplay
Switzerland	17:15	DAZN Switzerland
Turkey	19:15	beIN Connect
Ukraine	18:15	MEGOGO Futbol 7, MEGOGO Ukraine
United Kingdom	16:15	Ligue 1+
Uruguay	13:15	Disney+
Usa	12:15	beIN Connect, beIN Sports
Venezuela	12:15	Disney+
International	16:15	OneFootball TV


	Auxerre		Le Mans

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.6	3.4	Watch
	2.05	3.60	3.40
	2.1	3.55	3.3	Watch
	2.17	3.7	3.45
	2.13	3.75	3.16	Watch
	2.14	3.6	3.4
	2.16	3.7	3.55	Watch
	2.08	3.7	3.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.11 ↓ (2.21)	3.65 ↑ (3.56)	3.38 ↑ (3.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Auxerre
45.4%

Draw
26.2%

Le Mans
28.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

42.8%

26.5%

30.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.8%

26.5%

30.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Auxerre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Le Mans has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Auxerre than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Le Mans than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
81.8%	9.1%	9.1%

Auxerre - Le Mans Predictions

Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Auxerre will win (votes: 18 - 81.8%). Le Mans will win (votes: 2 - 9.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 9.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Auxerre: 65.7% – 97.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Auxerre (votes: 2 - 100%).

New Consensus by Tipsters:

1X2 - Auxerre (2.10) (votes: 100%) ⭐ Best Value.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Nardi P. (G) 15. Makosso C. 4. Tuanzebe A. 92. Akpa C. 27. Sy L. 8. Ahamada N. 5. Danois K. (C) 22. Oppegard F. 21. Faivre R. 10. Namaso D. 9. Archer C.	98. Kocik N. (G) 19. Sidibe D. 17. Yohou S. (C) 16. Torrente R. 18. Buades L. 9. Rabillard A. 29. Bretelle L. 8. Lauray A. 22. Calodat L. 14. Mafouta L. 13. Diallo H.
Substitutes
20. Diomande S. 23. Diop M. (G) 34. Dioubate L. 17. Ekwah P. 47. Khoudda Y. 35. Legros E. 32. Mandengue R. 46. Piedfort A. 77. Zossou A.	26. Bamba R. 15. Boisse N. 7. Brahimi B. 25. Gueye D. 20. Harhouz W. 1. Hatfout E. (G) 23. Traore D. 10. Vercruysse J. 36. Videira L.
Coaches
Still W.	Videira P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
21', Lauray A. 🟨,
26', Buades L. 🟨,
44', Still W. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
48', 0 - 1, Buades L. ⚽, Bretelle L. (A),
53', Sidibe D. ↓, Boisse N. ↑,
56', 1 - 1, Archer C. ⚽,
63', Lauray A. ↓, Vercruysse J. ↑,
63', Diallo H. ↓, Gueye D. ↑,
69', Danois K. 🟨,
73', Sy L. ↓, Mandengue R. ↑,
86', Namaso D. ↓, Zossou A. ↑,
86', Danois K. ↓, Ekwah P. ↑,
86', Rabillard A. ↓, Traore D. ↑,
87', Buades L. ↓, Bamba R. ↑,
90+8', Archer C. ↓, Khoudda Y. ↑,
90+8', Ahamada N. ↓, Piedfort A. ↑,

Preview

A clash between a stable mid-table side and a team seeking crucial survival points (ranked 13th and 16th in the Ligue 1 Promotion - Playoffs).

Auxerre has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Le Mans has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Auxerre may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Auxerre is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

Confirmed absences for Auxerre: Diousse A. (Knee Injury) Fofana S. (Groin Injury) Labeau Lascary R. (Injury) Okoh B. (Knee Injury) Senaya M. (Hamstring Injury) Siwe T. (Muscle Injury).

Confirmed absences for Le Mans: Bourabaa A. (Ankle Injury) Colas E. (Injury) Larouci Y. (Groin Injury) Voyer H. (Thigh Injury).

In the last 5 head-to-head meetings, Auxerre has recorded 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 8:6 (averaging 1.6:1.2 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Auxerre against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 6:3 goals (averaging 2:1 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Auxerre	8	3	1	4	12:18	-6	10
15	Le Mans	8	1	4	3	11:16	-5	7

Outrights of French Ligue 1 for now

Le Mans: 0.17% Auxerre: 0.17%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AJ Auxerre
French Ligue 1
18.10.26	Le Havre - Auxerre	1:3 ✺
11.10.26	Rennes - Auxerre	4:1 ✺
Club Friendly
02.10.26	Auxerre - Clermont	4:3 ✺
French Ligue 1
20.09.26	Auxerre - Brest	2:1 ✺
12.09.26	Auxerre - Nice	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 WLWWW
- Le Mans FC
French Ligue 1
16.10.26	Le Mans - Toulouse	0:3 ✺
10.10.26	Paris Saint-Germain - Le Mans	3:1 ✺
Club Friendly
02.10.26	Guingamp - Le Mans	2:1
French Ligue 1
19.09.26	Le Mans - Lorient	2:1 ✺
13.09.26	Le Mans - Lens	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 LLLWT

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
01.08.20	Auxerre - Le Mans	3:2
French Ligue 2
10.01.20	Le Mans - Auxerre	0:1
02.08.19	Auxerre - Le Mans	2:0
25.01.13	Auxerre - Le Mans	1:1
20.08.12	Le Mans - Auxerre	3:1

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