The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Toulouse 57.3%
Draw 23.1%
Troyes 19.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
50.7%
25.2%
24.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
50.9%
25.1%
24%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Toulouse has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Toulouse's performance.
Troyes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Toulouse than the current prediction. (-6.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Toulouse that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Troyes than the current prediction. (+4.4%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
73.2%
10.7%
16.1%
Toulouse - Troyes Predictions
Users Predictions:
56 users predict this event. Toulouse will win (votes: 41 - 73.2%). Troyes will win (votes: 9 - 16.1%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 10.7%). Confidence interval (95%) for Toulouse: 61.6% – 84.8%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Preview
Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 12 and 15).
Toulouse has the most likely position - 12 (15.02%), has project points - 49, has currently - 26, has a very small chance of relegated (3%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Troyes has the most likely position - 17 (15.06%), has project points - 38, has currently - 19, has a chance of relegated (39%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
This event has quality53, small importance29, match rating41. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Last 5 head-to-head matches Toulouse won 2.
Toulouse in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Troyes is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Troyes could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match Toulouse is a favorite.
There will not play in Toulouse: Genreau D.
(Muscle Injury)
Healey R.
(Knee Injury)
Keben K.
(Injury)
There will not play in Troyes: Dingome T.
(Foot Injury)
Palaversa A.
(Injury)
Tardieu F.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
There are questionable in Troyes: Rami A.
(Injury)
Reine-Adelaide J.
(Injury)
Yade P. N.
(Injury)
Our prediction for today's Toulouse to win the game is with odds 1.7.
Last 9 head-to-head matches Toulouse won 5 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 13-3.
Including matches at home between the teams Toulouse won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-2.
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